The models have been very consistent for many days in calling for the coldest nights in quite a while for the SE US April 2-3 due to an impressive Canadian high coming down. One or even two freezes are likely to occur in much of the northern SE. Frosts will be possible much further south, especially 4/3 when winds are light and dewpoints are a little higher.
Interestingly, the models have also been showing that upper 30s could make it down as far south as @pcbjr 's abode of Hogtown for both nights! That would be quite notable. There very likely wouldn't be a frost there on 4/2 due to low dewpoints and winds but there's a better shot there on 4/3 when the dewpoints are somewhat higher and winds light.
Regarding my abode, lows near 38-39 for both nights have been consistently predicted by the GFS for many runs in a row. I wouldn't be shocked if it got even colder than 38 due to very low dewpoints.
The mean at both locations on 4/2 has a good shot at being the coldest for any day since way back in Feb with quite possibly the coldest at Hogtown since way back on Feb 4th!
From Jacksonville NWS:
"LIGHTER WINDS FRIDAY NIGHT WILL ALLOW
FOR POTENTIAL FROST DEVELOPMENT OVER INLAND SOUTHEAST GA AND
SUWANNEE VALLEY
. "
From NWS CHS:
For Thursday night:
"FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE FAR INLAND AND IN THE
FRANCIS MARION, SO FREEZE HEADLINES MAY BE NEEDED WITH THE NEXT MAIN
FORECAST PACKAGE. LUCKILY, NW WINDS WILL REMAIN IN THE 5-10 MPH
RANGE AND RH VALUES WILL STRUGGLE TO REACH 60%, WHICH WILL MAKE IT
VERY DIFFICULT FOR FROST TO FORM."
"FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BE THE COLDEST NIGHT OUR AREA HAS HAD IN A WHILE, AND
MORE IMPACTFUL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. THE COMBINATION OF AN ALREADY
COLD AIRMASS, LIGHT OR MAYBE CALM WINDS, AND CLEAR SKIES WILL CAUSE
TEMPERATURES TO PLUMMET. LOWS WILL BE IN THE 30S WITH POTENTIALLY A
MAJORITY OF OUR NON-COASTAL COUNTIES AT RISK OF REACHING FREEZING
TEMPERATURES. THIS IS MORE LIKELY TO OCCUR IF WINDS GO CALM, WHICH
MODELS ARE HINTING MIGHT HAPPEN. ADDITIONALLY, IF WINDS GO CALM,
WE'LL NEED TO KEEP AN EYE ON THE FROST POTENTIAL. LUCKILY, RH VALUES
WILL STRUGGLE TO REACH 70%, WHICH WOULD LIMIT THE FROST POTENTIAL.
EITHER WAY, SOME MORE FREEZE HEADLINES MAY BE NEEDED FRIDAY NIGHT.
SATURDAY, TEMPERATURES FINALLY WARM UP AS THE AIR MASS MODERATES.
THIS IS A STRETCH AS THEY WILL STILL BE IN THE 60S INSTEAD OF THE
50S."
Interestingly, the models have also been showing that upper 30s could make it down as far south as @pcbjr 's abode of Hogtown for both nights! That would be quite notable. There very likely wouldn't be a frost there on 4/2 due to low dewpoints and winds but there's a better shot there on 4/3 when the dewpoints are somewhat higher and winds light.
Regarding my abode, lows near 38-39 for both nights have been consistently predicted by the GFS for many runs in a row. I wouldn't be shocked if it got even colder than 38 due to very low dewpoints.
The mean at both locations on 4/2 has a good shot at being the coldest for any day since way back in Feb with quite possibly the coldest at Hogtown since way back on Feb 4th!
From Jacksonville NWS:
"LIGHTER WINDS FRIDAY NIGHT WILL ALLOW
FOR POTENTIAL FROST DEVELOPMENT OVER INLAND SOUTHEAST GA AND
SUWANNEE VALLEY
. "
From NWS CHS:
For Thursday night:
"FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE FAR INLAND AND IN THE
FRANCIS MARION, SO FREEZE HEADLINES MAY BE NEEDED WITH THE NEXT MAIN
FORECAST PACKAGE. LUCKILY, NW WINDS WILL REMAIN IN THE 5-10 MPH
RANGE AND RH VALUES WILL STRUGGLE TO REACH 60%, WHICH WILL MAKE IT
VERY DIFFICULT FOR FROST TO FORM."
"FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BE THE COLDEST NIGHT OUR AREA HAS HAD IN A WHILE, AND
MORE IMPACTFUL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. THE COMBINATION OF AN ALREADY
COLD AIRMASS, LIGHT OR MAYBE CALM WINDS, AND CLEAR SKIES WILL CAUSE
TEMPERATURES TO PLUMMET. LOWS WILL BE IN THE 30S WITH POTENTIALLY A
MAJORITY OF OUR NON-COASTAL COUNTIES AT RISK OF REACHING FREEZING
TEMPERATURES. THIS IS MORE LIKELY TO OCCUR IF WINDS GO CALM, WHICH
MODELS ARE HINTING MIGHT HAPPEN. ADDITIONALLY, IF WINDS GO CALM,
WE'LL NEED TO KEEP AN EYE ON THE FROST POTENTIAL. LUCKILY, RH VALUES
WILL STRUGGLE TO REACH 70%, WHICH WOULD LIMIT THE FROST POTENTIAL.
EITHER WAY, SOME MORE FREEZE HEADLINES MAY BE NEEDED FRIDAY NIGHT.
SATURDAY, TEMPERATURES FINALLY WARM UP AS THE AIR MASS MODERATES.
THIS IS A STRETCH AS THEY WILL STILL BE IN THE 60S INSTEAD OF THE
50S."
