DamnEuro and CMC are really locked in right now on a solution that supports quite a prolific severe weather threat, and we’ve consistently seen looks that support it in model runs the last few days, hopefully this can be a jinx, if it’s to early @SD you can take action View attachment 50895View attachment 50896View attachment 50897View attachment 50898View attachment 50899View attachment 50900View attachment 50901View attachment 50902
Is that suppose to be a damn as in “that looks cray” ?Damn
Yes sir that is correctIs that suppose to be a damn as in “that looks cray” ?
We might have to turn this into an inland effects thread if the Euro goes toward the ukSo now it looks like we may get some TC action mixed in... geez a imagine a phase View attachment 50961
We might have to turn this into an inland effects thread if the Euro goes toward the uk
Looks like euro might do itWe might have to turn this into an inland effects thread if the Euro goes toward the uk
Toss. Model has action in wake county but that’s not possible , all action happens south and east of wake county . No action .
It’s especially concerning considering the sun has popped out and we’ve warmed into the low 80s...pretty sure there is plenty of instability for storms to fire.Ok this is some more concerning stuff View attachment 51231View attachment 51232View attachment 51233
It’s especially concerning considering the sun has popped out and we’ve warmed into the low 80s...pretty sure there is plenty of instability for storms to fire.
Warm mid levels left over from zeta, just skinny capeIt's stunning to me that we can have temps in the 80s with dews in the 70s in late October and virtually no instability.
Yep. It's always somethingWarm mid levels left over from zeta, just skinny cape
Yep. It's always something
It's always that warm layerYep. It's always something
DamnWouldn’t be surprised to see a tornado warning in SC soon. That line has a lot of areas of rotation.View attachment 51397
We weren't incredibly unstable last night, we had SB capes around 500 and ML capes around 1000. That was enough to at least combine with the inbound forcing to develop and sustain a skinny shallow line of convection that really didn't have a lot of lightning. Had we had more cape/better ml LR's we would have seen a much more active evening with warnings and likely a decent wind/QLCS tornado eventSo what happened to that lack of instability?