Potential gulf system
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Tropical 92L
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
And so it begins.
accu35
Member
It only takes one they say
More details on the Google DeepMind suite
A little early on this, but October Gulf Thingie might be the best chance of breaking the no hurricane streak this season.
After a few mediocre runs, the 12Z GFS early on is, let's say, concerning.
978 mb now.
Tight core. This is very different from what the model has been looking like. Combined with Google DeepMind...Oh, boy.
OK, so this makes me feel better:
NoSnowATL
Member
Yeah the shear going to do her work. Getting lucky again
New Orleans landfall this run. 
And then, there looks to be enhancement by the jet stream as it begins the transition to extra-tropical. Can't sleep on this one.
NoSnowATL
Member
Rain maker
Lol we'll watch it dissipate right as it gets to the NC line.
NoSnowATL
Member
I’ll get dry slotted the whole time.
Before things get too fast in here just want to remind everyone that the board covers a large geographic footprint and there may be impacts spread well across the area so there at times could be discussion about how much rain in a location, what is the chance of severe weather, or other aspects away from the immediate path of any tropical system.
12Z UKMET: shifts back east from 0Z run’s far SE LA to MS/AL border track to new track into FL Pan for mid-grade TS followed by NNW and then NNE move in AL:
NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 22.8N 92.4W
LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 08.10.2026 72 24.0N 91.4W 1002 30
0000UTC 09.10.2026 84 25.2N 89.4W 999 34
1200UTC 09.10.2026 96 26.7N 88.0W 996 44
0000UTC 10.10.2026 108 28.7N 86.9W 995 49
1200UTC 10.10.2026 120 32.1N 86.1W 999 26
0000UTC 11.10.2026 132 34.5N 87.3W 1001 26
1200UTC 11.10.2026 144 CEASED TRACKING
NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 22.8N 92.4W
LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 08.10.2026 72 24.0N 91.4W 1002 30
0000UTC 09.10.2026 84 25.2N 89.4W 999 34
1200UTC 09.10.2026 96 26.7N 88.0W 996 44
0000UTC 10.10.2026 108 28.7N 86.9W 995 49
1200UTC 10.10.2026 120 32.1N 86.1W 999 26
0000UTC 11.10.2026 132 34.5N 87.3W 1001 26
1200UTC 11.10.2026 144 CEASED TRACKING
Would love for this to hold together enough to get a lot of rain.
RollTide18
Member
Yeah, we really need the rain here in south Alabama