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November Sou'easter

Just a preview of what's to come this winter when we are cold enough for snow.
 
Should be some nice satellite pics late tomorrow and Sunday morning from this thing. Also if you dry some time watch how it forms/moves along the coastal front with precip on the NW side good example of how winter coastal bomb and throw snow back inland
 
Pretty substantial shifts in 3k with the system turning due east and scooting away. Bombs out big time though. Should make for some sweet sat images tomorrow.
 
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The La Nina suppression track influence already kicking into gear. Imagine if this were supposed to be a winter weather event.
 
Here it has rained nonstop for 30 hours with temps in the 40s and gusty NE to N winds. The heaviest has been happening during the last 45 minutes. Totals will end up exceeding 3” at the very least in much of the region. Like 24 hours ago, current temps are near the coldest in the lower 48 with a few exceptions mainly in the NW. Lake City in FL at 45 is just about the coldest at 5PM at a nonmountainous lower 48 major station! KSAV is 46.

This is the type of track that about once very few decades will give this area a very rare major winter storm. The last one was in January of 2018 and the prior one was in 1989. This one would have been a ZR/IP type of setup if it were midwinter due to the wedge of colder air than at 850 mb.
 
Here it has rained nonstop for 30 hours with temps in the 40s and gusty NE to N winds. The heaviest has been happening during the last 45 minutes. Totals will end up exceeding 3” at the very least in much of the region. Like 24 hours ago, current temps are near the coldest in the lower 48 with a few exceptions mainly in the NW. Lake City in FL at 45 is just about the coldest at 5PM at a nonmountainous lower 48 major station! KSAV is 46.

This is the type of track that about once very few decades will give this area a very rare major winter storm. The last one was in January of 2018 and the prior one was in 1989. This one would have been a ZR/IP type of setup if it were midwinter due to the wedge of colder air than at 850 mb.
Can confirm, it's unbelievable weather for your location. Ready for the rain to stop though
 
Here it has rained nonstop for 30 hours with temps in the 40s and gusty NE to N winds. The heaviest has been happening during the last 45 minutes. Totals will end up exceeding 3” at the very least in much of the region. Like 24 hours ago, current temps are near the coldest in the lower 48 with a few exceptions mainly in the NW. Lake City in FL at 45 is just about the coldest at 5PM at a nonmountainous lower 48 major station! KSAV is 46.

This is the type of track that about once very few decades will give this area a very rare major winter storm. The last one was in January of 2018 and the prior one was in 1989. This one would have been a ZR/IP type of setup if it were midwinter due to the wedge of colder air than at 850 mb.
Larry,
Not frowning at a day in Hogtown USA that never broke 52º officially, or 50.4º IMBY ... ?
 
A high of 50 in the first week of November has to be exceptionally rare for your location.

1. You’re correct, Dan. 53 is a record low high for 11/6 for Hogtown. Also, only one other year on record has had a high there that was lower than this earlier, 11/4/1991’s 52. The 53 compares to the normal LOW of ~54.

2. KSAV had a record low high of 48 yesterday and 50 today. The only colder low high this early was the 47 of 11/3/1930. These compare to the normal LOWS of 51/50.

Edit:
The Charleston (11/5), Brunswick/SSI (11/5-6) and Jacksonville areas (11/6) also had record low highs.
 
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My county had a storm total range of 3-5". My location ended up with ~4", which included short periods of moderate to heavy rains returning late last night on the backside after several hours of light or no rain. The last of the rain didn't end til 9 AM this morning. It started around noon on Friday. So, the elapsed time from the start of the storm's rain til the very end was ~45 hours! It wasn't a totally continuous 45 hours of rain but a good 40 or so of the 45 hours had rain. A storm with that much elapsed time of nearly continuous rain is pretty rare.

I was looking back at records and there was a similar November storm with heavy rains and chilly temperatures due to a similarly far SE tracking low November 15-16 of 2019. There was even a thread created by Brick for that storm.
 
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