Warmest 5 day 2m temp anomaly map, courtesy of the 12z GEFS. Wooftorch!
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Pattern Nippy November
- Thread starter jackendrickwx
- Start date
Oh yeah bring on the warmth.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
591 dm ridge hanging out in the Atlantic, wth... nice pattern for nasty severe
whatalife
Moderator
The pacific jet just doesn’t look nearly as intimidating as it did last year. I remember we were getting 170+ kt winds deep into the eastern pacific last year. I mean even the 380 hour maps were showing it. I don’t see that so far this year. Therefore my optimism meter is at a 2/10 right now.
pcbjr
Member
If over 384 hours, a 12Z GFS vacillating range of 77º to 44º is a torch in N FL going into the 1st week of December, such a torch is welcomed ...
That's not to imply it might not get much warmer going into December; 384 is further down the road than worth considering ...
... nonetheless ...
That's not to imply it might not get much warmer going into December; 384 is further down the road than worth considering ...
... nonetheless ...
NWMSGuy
Member
Uh Oh!
yep, HSLC setup needs to be watched
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
This is an absolutely horrendous pacific pattern, it's only a matter of time...
WXinCanton
Member
Both GFS and Euro have big systems around Thanksgiving.
Folks, I hope you're sitting down. 12Z EPS has unfortunately finally given up the ghost. 
@Webberweather53 saw this coming to his credit.
@Webberweather53 saw this coming to his credit.
Euro is not messing around with the Greenland blocking this year. This aint your mother's modern winter pattern, folks!
Not a surprise. We knew it was coming just in time for December. All we can do is hope we don't get stuck with that crap repeating all winter through our peak climo.
nice room for the southeast ridge, its definitely there around the Bahamas, and when you see it, it almost always expands north
All the pretty purpled and whites on the other side of the planet and a SE ridge, man I love winter!
We don't want to waste our 10 days of winter in the first part of December anyway. Let's get it mid Jan!!
Why are you worried about that?
NoSnowATL
Member
Don’t worry, it will slosh back just in time for February.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
If this SSWE is successful & we get cold from it, I'd expect the pattern to respond timing wise in January, sort of analogous 1965-66 which absolutely dropped the hammer in January 1966 after a sudden stratospheric warming event occurred in December 1965, peaking in mid-December, that seems about right for this year if one were to transpire. Essentially, I'm saying if this pans out, I don't think we'd have to wait until February to get rocking & rolling.
January 1966 btw was crazy in our neck of the woods, culminating in a blizzard in late January. Yanceyville picked up 34" of snow in 2 weeks.
I think we already wasted our week of winter, about a week ago! Remember, Roxboro jackpot, low of 24, it was our coldest of winter and only November!