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Pattern May-hem

Impressive (though the wind is a bit much!) --

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metwannabe said:
Well per the NWS morning update you are south of the wedge front so you shouldn't be chilly ;) Details below give you a sense of just why this is such a complex scenario

Three noteworthy features can be seen on the latest surface
analysis: a roughly west-east wedge/CAD frontal zone across the
northern Piedmont, a warm front lifting into southeastern NC, and a
cold front to our west through the W Ohio Valley and lower Miss
Valley. The latest high-res models take the wedge front northward
gradually this morning, with expectations that the warm/maritime
tropical front will rapidly retreat and potentially merge with the
wedge front across the central/western piedmont this afternoon. And
finally, the west-to-east passage of the cold/occluded front
(featuring a triple point low tracking near or just NW of the Triad)
very late evening through the overnight hours.
Click to expand...
It's always a complex scenario around here now when it comes to any type of severe weather and winter storms.
 
RollTide18 said:
Is the AN temp streak gonna come to an end this month?
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Based on projections I've seen, the best chance for the AN streak to end is in W AL, MS, and W TN. Most of the posters here, especially E GA, SC, and NC, should end up in the 0 to +2 area thus continuing the streak of AN even though this will end up as a near normal month. But with still a week to go, there's room for enough error to cool things enough to get some barely BN.

Aside: nice steady rains here with rumbles of thunder. Nothing severe so far. Congrats to Phil on his heavy rains.
 
GaWx said:
Based on projections I've seen, the best chance for the AN streak to end is in W AL, MS, and W TN. Most of the posters here, especially E GA, SC, and NC, should end up in the 0 to +2 area thus continuing the streak of AN even though this will end up as a near normal month. But with still a week to go, there's room for enough error to cool things enough to get some barely BN.
Click to expand...
:cool::D:p - Great point, Larry!
 
metwannabe said:
You think the wedge will scour out as forecast or will it possibly hinder development? Looks to be hanging tough up this way....
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Honestly it always seems in this scenario the cooler air wins so I would guess that's what happens again. Then again we are in need of an extreme amount of cape

Sent from my SM-G928V using Tapatalk
 
RAH said the storms should be in central NC between 3 and 8.
 
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