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Zander98al
Guest
Cloud cover forecasts show the clouds going away after the mcs goes through and the sun comes out so itll probably feel like a jungle out there with humidity.
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Severe March 25-27th possible severe weather
- Thread starter Myfrotho704_
- Start date
just constant hail reports today, a lot of these reports have been accumulating pea sized hail, somebody tommorow may get accumulating hail of that magnitude and call it a winter, lol
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Lol if that's the only white I see it'll maybe bring... oh wait, it's spring. It'll be cool to see a lot of pea sized hail on the ground accumulated if it happens.
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Zander98al
Guest
Would that temperature contrast be the warm front??
H A I L
anyways for areas in nc/sc reason why CAPE diminishes is becuase of DP mixing, which is a CAPE killer, areas farther south will have better lift/moisture/instability but hrrr tries to get some activity off the lee side off the mountains for nc/sc, if this day had more wind energy it would definitely be more concerning
anyways for areas in nc/sc reason why CAPE diminishes is becuase of DP mixing, which is a CAPE killer, areas farther south will have better lift/moisture/instability but hrrr tries to get some activity off the lee side off the mountains for nc/sc, if this day had more wind energy it would definitely be more concerning
Kinda, its more of a warm front separating rain cooled air and warm untapped air
Tommorow is gonna be a interesting day based off the 3KM NAM , for MS/AL/ central-southern GA soundings are more supportive of hail/gusty winds with steep mid level lapse rates, better instability and higher sfc moisture along with dry air entrainment aloft, in northern GA/SC/NC we got weird soundings, thunderstorms with higher bases due to higher LFC(s)/LCL(s) and in a enviroment with larger inverted Vs, very skinny CAPE, it’s actually what you would expect with drier microbursts altho the DP/sfc temp depression is not that big, still 19-20 degrees is decent which is probably why the NAM tries to show that outflow boundary, possibly a damaging wind threat if temps heat up and cloud cover stays away
SPC day 1 slight risk for West GA and Central AL.
SIM radar looks pretty crazy around here even , this afternoon!? Local mets saying rain showers and a rumble of thunder possibly! I know it’s worse to my west over GA / AL , but interested in watching this afternoon! Havnt had a good T storm since January!?
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Zander98al
Guest
HRRR has a few pockets of high SRH helicity around the cell at birmingham i wonder if one of these cells will spin up. Spc has a 2% risk for a tornado. But always expect a few suprises, especially with last severe weather event that hit south alabama. May have some large hail in it as well.
Storms should start firing up in the next few hours. Gonna be interesting to see how things unfold this afternoon.
HSVweather
Member
Storms popping in southern TN
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Zander98al
Guest
Lapse rate forecasts are pretty decent for storm development, and all this sunshine is adding to the fuel.
Pretty significant clearing is trying to move in. Should hopefully bode well for later.
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Zander98al
Guest
Well so much for that.
By the time the clearing line got here, after about 15 minutes, it filled in with a stratocumulus field.
Snowflowxxl
Member
Significant clearing in ATL
Refela
Member
SPC discussing severe thunderstorm watch for North and part of Central Alabama. 40 per cent probability.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Can we not. Note that this shifts from far E TN about 30 miles NE of Chattanooga to north of Athens, GA before the threat diminishes.
