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Ik new gfs is about to roll but this was a big swing at 18z
850s took a step back for many (this run popped a low off OBX lol) but manage <0c along/west of US-1. Your cold is simply coming from our arctic front swooping in and potentially overlapping with some of that precip. I may be missing something but precip looks to be mostly CVA driven? And that’s improved at 700 and 500 this run.
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