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Tropical Invest 90L

That's a good amount of convection off the FL coast. Will be interesting to see how much convection it can maintain on the east side since it's likely to have some shear and dry air issues on the west side
 
Looks like the trough in the NATL will keep the storm at bay due to the shear. Maybe it can separate more quickly and get a little stronger like the ICON, but I'm not optimistic. These types of systems can spin up quickly though.
 
Code orange
F1028810-FA60-4C01-921C-A8D1AE8697D1.jpeg
As of 8:00 pm EDT Fri Jul 23 2021 ...
An elongated low pressure area centered about 150 miles east of
Daytona Beach, Florida, continues to produce some showers and
thunderstorms. This system has become better organized since
yesterday, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend
while the low meanders offshore or near the Florida peninsula.
Interests in Florida should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent
 
Well a decently defined low level swirl and a sunshade persistent area of convection displaced E of what may be the low level center. Has about 48 hours to get going before it moves back inland
 
I'll report to you guys from the eye of the storm while I'm in Swansboro. Lol

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This could turn out to be the 4th tropical system to have an impact on this area and we're still in July! If there is going to be impact, this is how I like them, weak.


Edit:
From NWS CHS:
MONDAY: LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST SUNDAY
AFTERNOON IS EXPECTED TO PUSH ONSHORE, MOST LIKELY INTO SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA, MONDAY. THIS FEATURE SHOULD INJECT GREATER MOISTURE WITH
PWATS INCREASING TO GREATER THAN 2 INCHES ACROSS THE REGION, AND THE
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD INCREASE. BECAUSE
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE OFFSHORE LOW REMAIN
DISORGANIZED, MAXIMUM POPS DURING MAXIMUM HEATING MONDAY AFTERNOON
ARE CAPPED AT 30-40 PERCENT SOUTH TO 15-20 PERCENT ELSEWHERE.
HOWEVER, THESE POPS COULD PROVE TO BE CONSERVATIVE, ESPECIALLY
ACROSS SOUTHERN COUNTIES. OTHERWISE, OUTSIDE THUNDERSTORMS, EXPECT
GREATER COVERAGE OF DEWPOINTS IN THE 70S AS COMPARED WITH PAST
COUPLE OF DAYS, ACCOMPANIED BY HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE MIDDLE/UPPER
80S NEAR THE COAST AND LOWER 90S INLAND.
 
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Invest 90L may have fizzled in terms of TD potential (fine with me), but it is still having a significant impact on the GA coast with bands of moderate to heavy rains coming off the ocean, including at my place right now. This is the 4th tropical entity to do so here and we’re still in July!
 
Total rainfall yesterday associated with 90L: ~0.5-1.5" for the area. I was closer to 0.5". I'm nearing 9" MTD. KSAV is approaching 7".
 
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