1. A broad area of low pressure is expected to develop over the
west-central Caribbean Sea in a day or two. This system is expected
to move slowly westward toward Central America through early next
week. Environmental conditions are forecast to support some slow
development, however, interaction with land could limit the chance
of formation once the system approaches Central America on Monday or
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.