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Pattern December, Make analogs relevant again

I can already tell, for the first/icy event; GEFS is on board from these early frames.
 
Shawn said:
The Euro is going to say yes, in most likelihood to an icy situation; Just as the CMC won't let go.
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Since the CMC has a hold on the system being an ice storm for CAD regions, I bet it will stay like that.
Shawn said:
I can already tell, for the first/icy event; GEFS is on board from these early frames.
Click to expand...
Figured the ensembles would place the GFS OP in the outlier category.
 
ForsythSnow said:
Since the CMC has a hold on the system being an ice storm for CAD regions, I bet it will stay like that.

Figured the ensembles would place the GFS OP in the outlier category.
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Just counted 15 with ice/sleet in CAE out of 20.
 
One of the 2 remaining models will have to cave to the GFS op before I pay any attention to it, either that or if if gets a lot of agreement with it's own ensemble
 
System 01 -

sysetem_01.png
 
I remember Feb 2014 in CAE, catastrophic ice was suppose to hit, as we got closer to the storm, it looked like more cold air in the upper levels would be in place shifting the major ice S of CAE. Ultimately, CAE ended up with a major sleet event. I wonder if soemthing like this would happen as we got closer to the event. Going to be very exciting to watch.
 
To prevent confusion; if the 12z Euro has the first storm threat; we'll need a thread. For the Jan. threat; we have a new Jan thread also.
 
In my experience, an ice storm at the tail end of a cold period leads to a sharp warm-up while one at the beginning of one leads to other threats and this looks to be the case here too possibly (at least here in NC)
 
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