Snowflowxxl
Member
CMC has about .5 inch of ice over most of SC and good part of GA
I was just thinking the same thing. The more suppressed and stringy the gfs looks the better off we areAh classic GFS loses a storm in the medium range by suppressing it and stringing out the southern branch energy too much. Good sign that this is a legit threat
Not necessarily. Augusta got it much worse with zr during Feb 2014 storm. ATL was a lot of sleet.Looks like more ice in Augusta than Atlanta. Doesn't Atlanta usually get more ice in CAD events ?
Determination of sleet vs ZR is probably the hardest p type to distinguish in winter wx forecasting. As I mentioned yesterday even if u got the temp profile exactly right the fact that different CCN freeze at different temperatures when in contact with water changes whether you get sleet of freezing rain at the surface, & models paramterize w/ marine CCN distributions (sea salt, etc.) which is almost always an invalid assumption for us here in the SE USLooking at 925 mb temps on the CMC, a lot of that ice would actually be sleet.
Wonder if we do start a storm thread if we should just have one thread for the 29th into the first week of 2018 since we have three storms showing up. Might be a lot easier to handle than going back and forth between multiple threads.
No , it appears we might have two separate threats . We should fire up a thread after the euro for the 27th-29th
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Okay, I thought it was the 28 to 29, 1 to 2, and 4 to 5. Getting confusing.No , it appears we might have two separate threats . We should fire up a thread after the euro for the 27th-29th
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What if Dr no says no?
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