Severe April 6-8th severe threat

[Brick Tamland]

73 and mostly sun here now.

 

[Zander98al]

New HRRR run shows some intense supercells on the AL/MS state line later afternoon. May be multiple waves for people in west alabama today.

 

[BirdManDoomW]

SPC says next 2-4 hours watch the NC mountains. Meso discussion is out hot off the press.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Pretty nasty looking line of storms on the simulated radar for NC and SC.

Can u show it?

 

[Zander98al]

Georgia people need to watch for supercells as well late tonight early tomorrow morning. This is from the HRRR simulated radar.

 

[Fountainguy97]

Can u show it?

Here is latest

 

[BirdManDoomW]

Kind of unusual to be tracking a severe weather event during peak heating instead of overnight for North Carolina standards. By 6pm it’s all linear for most except for south side Virgina into northern NC east of Greensboro. Anything that develops now until then needs to be watched closely.

 

[snowlover91]

Looks like the SPC is going with an enhanced risk for parts of western NC and into VA.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Seeing lots of cell development in eastern Georgia rn ... moving up towards heavy instability ... the beginnings of a long day starts now

 

[Snowfan]

 

[BirdManDoomW]

Virgina and NC will be upgraded soon per NWS Blacksburg.

 

[Brick Tamland]

Wish I could see this with the counties in NC. Looks like Wake might be right on the enhanced line.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Looks like the SPC is going with an enhanced risk for parts of western NC and into VA.

Yep, there concerned with damaging winds, -8C low level lapse rates/DCAPE, and a little bit of dry air entrainment aloft combined with some bulk shear argues for storms capable of wind damage

 

[ForsythSnow]

Wish I could see this with the counties in NC. Looks like Wake might be right on the enhanced line.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
Go here and check the counties box.

 

[BirdManDoomW]

Yep this is not for tornadoes. Just damaging winds. The SPC also noted they expect the greatest number of reports to come from the Virgina/North Carolina state line.

 

[Brick Tamland]

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
Go here and check the counties box.

Thanks. Looks like I am in the enhanced area at home. Wake is almost split down the middle. Funny how that seems to always be the case.

 

[Webberweather53]

Thanks. Looks like I am in the enhanced area at home. Wake is almost split down the middle. Funny how that seems to always be the case.

Here's a closer look at NC:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/public/state/images/

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

For anyone in the upstate hopeful convection would explode to the east, current radar should be a big reality check

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Cape increasing in the area I circled red earlier, should add another 500-1500 to that in a few hours

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Don

Yep this is not for tornadoes. Just damaging winds. The SPC also noted they expect the greatest number of reports to come from the Virgina/North Carolina state line.

Dont know why there would be more of a concentration there ... I think everyone from upstate through NC are in the crosshairs here .. already seeing discrete cells developing in SC which isn’t seen on short range models