5/4-6 possible severe wx

[Webberweather53]

I don’t agree with Charlotte being ground zero. If we get some supercells they are going to be west across western NC into upstate SC. Charlotte appears to be far enough East to allow these storms to merge and lose some tornado threat but could still have hail/wind.

The hodographs aren't sufficiently backed however until near dusk when the storms approach Charlotte.

 

[SD]

73/58 creeping into the danger zone

 

[ryan1234]

NAM sounding for Indian Trail...

 

[Rain Cold]

73/58 creeping into the danger zone

This going to be another 3 am threat?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Crap, 70/62 now

 

[Shaggy]

Clouds quickly clearing out here in Charlotte, mostly blue skies now.

We turned around over the last 2 hours. Went from NE winds and now they have swung to the SE and dewpoints are climbing.

 

[Jessy89]

The nice line of storms in north Alabama may gain strength as it moves east


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[SD]

This going to be another 3 am threat?

I hope not I was thinking 8-10pm

 

[Broken024]

That goes against what every other guidance is saying...

I only follow bird guidance

 

[jackendrickwx]

Svr watch about to be issued

 

[Webberweather53]

 

[BirdManDoomW]

I only follow bird guidance

Well the new SPC meso discussion says same thing that discrete storm mode is likely only at the onset. I have seen some short range models that form a bow echo before reaching Charlotte. Tough call but I think it’s premature to call Charlotte ground zero since it’s located fairly Far East if the onset is well west of Asheville NC.

 

[Cadi40]

Looking for a Tornado Watch as well.

 

[jackendrickwx]

Looking for a Tornado Watch as well.

They put a low likelihood on tornadoes and very low for EF2+, idk

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Here are the “chances”
That moderate chance for 2+” hail interest me

 

[mbway091]

Looking for a Tornado Watch as well.

Would be a bit redundant. If they were gonna issue a tor watch at all they would have done it just now.

 

[Webberweather53]

Here are the “chances”
That moderate chance for 2+” hail interest me View attachment 40992

Lime sized hail, that’s a new one for me.

 

[Webberweather53]

Must have jinxed it earlier because the clouds are back in full force here

 

[ryan1234]

Hmm... the severe thunderstorm watch admittedly through me off a bit.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Lime sized hail, that’s a new one for me.
View attachment 40993

Yep, that’s slightly bigger than a golf ball (2 inches) oof