We've still got a long ways to go before the start of the hurricane season, but I'd definitely lean to a below-to-near normal season at the moment.
El Niño appears likely to develop by the summer, which will likely increase wind shear over the deep tropics. I'll release a more detailed forecast in late March.
Dr. Levi Cowan had an informative tweet on how ENSO will affect the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season: