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Tropical 2025 Tropical Thread

Shaggy said:
Gfs is awfully consistent with it though
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Of course the exact track changes every run, but it has now been there for a while now and is up to a day 10 threat now. I think we will either see other models pick it up, or the GFS lose it by Sunday at 12z. My money is on the GFS losing it by then.
 
SD said:
All I'm saying is if the last 3 or 4 years of may GFS runs where archived somewhere i bet 60%+ have the same hurricane past D10 in May and early June. They said the gulf/Caribbean should get interesting over the next week
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A few euro ensembles have something in the GOM around the same time frame so that period might squeak out a weak TS if the models keep this thing alive for a few more runs
 
Brent said:
But yeah some of these people on Facebook seem to think we're gonna have some full blown amazing hurricane and I just don't buy it

Maybe in a couple months
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Yeah that doesnt seem likely. Climatology doesn't offer much hope for a full blown cane.
 
Pretty decent agreement on the cmc, icon, euro, robo euro at trying to spin up something along the tail of this weekends front in the Bahamas
 
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