at least we’re dragging I-95 down with us
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Misc 2022-23 Fall/Winter Whamby Thread
- Thread starter Drizzle Snizzle
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Oconeexman
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If Monday and Tuesday it looks like poop then I'll stick a fork in it. Until then I'll hold out hope. Think this pattern flip is just so dramatic and volatile we can't discount any outcome yet. Yes it does look bleak when the euro, ukie and cmc team up tho
Snowlove33
Member
I guess the only thing I can look forward to (since winter still haven’t started yet) is that January through maybe March still has potential to score down these parts
Carolina Sky
Member
Someday the GFS will show a monster snow here 7 to 10 days out and it will be right. Someday.
I'm scared to jump on board... but why not! It's that time of year
So when does the pipe busting cold hit us on the Euro?
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NoSnowJoe
Member
I refreshed the Dazzling December forum and I was reading about how the cold is locked up in Canada, etc, getting really depressed. What happened!?! Then I got to the bottom of the page...you guessed it, I was on page one, lol!
It would be highly preferable to score while we gave all this blocking around. After it subsides, since we don't have a split flow, it's going to be much harder to get a snowstorm, particularly with a mediocre PNA ridge.
Lol, I thought I read on 2 or 10 times on here last couple of days that the cold was coming regardless of a storm or not we were going to get frigid by Christmas weekend.
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Again, how does a storm cut and run towards Canada if we have the block that the models say we have, in place? I thought there was no way it be could cut into that block that much!
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MichaelJ
Member
It may be cold enough to snow but the pipe busting numbers were fantasy land which is not a bad thing if you want snow. The ridge in the west and the low to our north are a lot different now as depicted than they were earlier and not in a good way
It probably is. We're going to see wild swings. Let's see, we got: energy flying around, models can't see the second storm till the first one gets out of the way, shortwaves not being properly sampled, etc. You know the drill.
Seriously, no model has a handle on the eventual outcome. The general pattern has the right pieces on the board, and it's better to be playing the game when all the players play instead of the starters eiding the pine.
It’s going to cut with the first storm. Great Lakes and Ohio valley going to get hit.
That is a myth and is just a phrase people who don't know what they're talking about throw out when the model tracks a storm where they don't want it to go. Weather forums are both good and bad.
SnowNiner
Member
A block is not really a block without a 50/50 low to produce confluence with it and push the flow south, as I understand it. Our ridging in Greenland is still not produced any favorable results that I'm aware of yet.
Sorry, im getting weenie annoyed at potentially wasting a great cold spell.
Oconeexman
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Looks like 22nd and 23rd but hell that's a week out so plenty of time for that to change. Honestly it's useless to even forecast past 5 days anymore. Never was a set in stone deal to that but even more so today. All this govt funding for upgrades and here in the US we have the worst available...so like everything else somebody got rich off this gfs upgrade and did nothing to improve the product(unless of course it scores a coup)
DadOfJax
Member
Let me know the next time you’re in Alabama and we can figure out who daddy is. ??
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