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Misc 2022-23 Fall/Winter Whamby Thread

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I wouldn't worry about that Euro run. (Or any run a week out) Earlier in the week CPC noted modeling was being very inconsistent in the long range because it kept erroneously trying to send storms into blocking and it would throw off everything that happened after that. Its why we kept going from ice box to heat wave from run to run. I suspect the Euro is having that issue right now.
 
Grit, if your still around, can you show me the pretty precip map of frozen and rain for the big 23rd storm over the plains. Thanks
 
Rah has included snow in my forecast for Wed night and Thurs, very bullish for them..... #KOD
Same for my location. Here's why:

RAH:
Wednesday into Thursday a very deep and cold upper low will traverse
from the northern Rockies to the TN Valley, bringing an anomalously
cold airmass with it. This has been consistent for a while now in
the models, however what has been varying is the potential
development of a coastal low on Thursday. If this low develops and
moves northeast along the coast, with the cold airmass already in
place and the upper low approaching central NC, this could be our
first chance of wintry-type precipitation this season. Best chances
would be across the NW Piedmont, with lesser chances of wintry
precip across the southern Coastal Plain and Sandhills. Confidence
is now high enough to include wintry-precip in the gridded forecast,
but the details will change from now until then given how far out
this system is. Stay tuned for further details.
 
Back in the 1996 storm, I got almost 7" of sleet. Before that in 1987 there was this storm:
1671188531347.png
I've done a lot of searches and have not found any sleet totals higher (anywhere). I would love to see totals like this again.
 
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