LickWx
Member
Giving vibes to last July where your luck switched and mine became amazing
As always, thanks for your expertise.A few things I was looking at that maybe were not mentioned…people kept saying it was moving too fast. Well I thought it was actually helping it because fast speed meant it was going to get away from the equator quicker because it was fairly far too south to do much strengthening for the past several days. Elsa had some dry air struggles but people were constantly nick picking Elsa to death. She held up for most of the journey and I could tell the NHC strength forecasts were going to be out to lunch. They ignored their own guidance and admitted they were on the low side. I think the biggest failure was keeping the same wind speeds throughout their cone when the majority of tropical systems experience different levels of intensity in their journey 1) near Barbados usually peaking 2) graveyard some decline 3) Caribbean mtns peak or bust 4) post Caribbean mtns peak in bath water 5) gulf or Bahamas peak in bath water 6) near shelf waters or ots decline in health
You can in the man threadWhere do all these damn weirdos come from?? Can’t we discuss thick thighs and toes and GG cups? That’s what’s up!
You pee sitting downWhere do all these damn weirdos come from?? Can’t we discuss thick thighs and toes and GG cups? That’s what’s up!
Do the fire symbols indicate possible wildfires ?Here’s some of my very long range general thoughts…that may be unpopular here. But I believe it’s gonna get hot and dry inland S/E due to Elsa staying ESE of us from Florida to offshore Myrtle Beach. Dry sinking air will conpound with downsloping along the blue ridge east and bring 90s to 100. That being said it could flood in most of Florida, coastal Georgia and coastal Carolinas maybe 2-3 counties inland should it trend north. North of the pink line is minimal impact to no impact. The hearts just show the general flow of the pattern I expect not the center. View attachment 86085
Omg you need to work for nws. Open your own branch in wilkesHere’s some of my very long range general thoughts…that may be unpopular here. But I believe it’s gonna get hot and dry inland S/E due to Elsa staying ESE of us from Florida to offshore Myrtle Beach. Dry sinking air will conpound with downsloping along the blue ridge east and bring 90s to 100. That being said it could flood in most of Florida, coastal Georgia and coastal Carolinas maybe 2-3 counties inland should it trend north. North of the pink line is minimal impact to no impact. The hearts just show the general flow of the pattern I expect not the center. View attachment 86085
Needs to phase out Snapchat though. I recommend AWIPSOmg you need to work for nws. Open your own branch in wilkes
Unless you live in the mountains the majority of our tornadoes are limited to tropical systems from the gulf. @Webberweather53 i wonder if anyone has any studies on this it seems like it’s a 10 to 1 ratio with tropical tornadoes vs any other time of year tornadoes up this way.Supercells >>>>>> hurricanes, idk I’m just not a huge fan of tropical wx, feel like with supercells you can get nice structure, tornadoes, large hail, lightning, and there very photogenic at times, a cane is just wind and rain
#lovebirdsAwww I get it, birdbrain and nickysomething are one and the same, all makes sense now.
I like hurricanes more , tropical weather is nice . Plus the anticipation leading to a hurricane is amazing . Suspense , waiting to see where it will go. Then when your under the gun all the preparation and anxiety as you wait for it to approach. The calm before the storm is also very real! Have yet to experience true hurricane conditions this far inland . Fran and Hazel are the only 2 storms I know of to have brought true hurricane conditions this far Inland with sustained 2 minute winds approaching 80mph with hazel, and a peak gust into the 90s at the airport . With hazel Fayetteville had 110mph gusts , I think Goldsboro actually had 120! Wouldn’t have been surprised if parts of southern wake managed 100 mph gusts with hazel . I spoke with an older lady who very much remembers hazel, she said she was at school I believe and it came and went through very quickly . She also told me about how her dad took her to KKK rallies as a child but that’s something else lmao.Supercells >>>>>> hurricanes, idk I’m just not a huge fan of tropical wx, feel like with supercells you can get nice structure, tornadoes, large hail, lightning, and there very photogenic at times, a cane is just wind and rain