• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Tropical 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season Discussion

Cool, i think the season might be done. Lets hope so.
Everywhere there is a red L and a number that is over water is an opportunity for something to spin up. NHC is watching 2 waves because it's likely they will spin up. The season is not even half over. Extremely likely that several more storms will hit the US......we are only trying to track the risk in a specific area.....and with the current conditions, one may spin up out of the blue with no warning of a red L...
Btw....GFS sucks at genesis, until its apparent.....icon and CMC have done much much better...
 
Last edited:
12z CMC runs the Carribean cruiser to ground....and then moves the 2 others around the board.....

gem_mslpa_atl_fh144-240.gif
 
That East Central Atlantic wave is looking better by the hour looping sats. Also note the SAL is loosing its punch to keep the CV waves in check. Week ago it was everywhere basin wide.

1598641096909.png
 
I alluded to this earlier....



No surprise. Sometimes I'll read folks saying the heat content is high, the warmth is deep, upwelling won't lead to much cooling etc. It doesn' t matter. Strong storms like Laura almost have to cause notable cooling not necessarily because of upwelling itself but because of the conservation of energy principle. TCs take energy from the warm ocean and convert it to kinetic energy (wind). Stronger storms take more out than weaker ones. Guess what has to happen when the energy in the form of warmth is taken from the ocean. It cools.
 
No surprise. Sometimes I'll read folks saying the heat content is high, the warmth is deep, upwelling won't lead to much cooling etc. It doesn' t matter. Strong storms like Laura almost have to cause notable cooling not necessarily because of upwelling itself but because of the conservation of energy principle. TCs take energy from the warm ocean and convert it to kinetic energy (wind). Stronger storms take more out than weaker ones. Guess what has to happen when the energy in the form of warmth is taken from the ocean. It cools.
Thoughts on how long it would take to warm back up, if another goes through that area? Fairly shallow in that area....
 
Back
Top