Severe 2/12-14 Severe

[SD]

Big slight

 

[SD]

18z hrrr with a few UH tracks near and south of bham

 

[jrips27]

18z hrrr with a few UH tracks near and south of bham

View attachment 168369

 

[BufordWX]

This is gonna be a big rainmaker as well for AL/GA.

 

[jrips27]

This is gonna be a big rainmaker as well for AL/GA.
View attachment 168374

Yeah FFC just expanded the flash flood watch

 

[jrips27]

 

[BufordWX]

Apparently there was a tornado near Pensacola a little bit ago.

 

[jrips27]

New day 1

 

[jrips27]

 

[jrips27]

Enhanced now for today

 

[jrips27]

Wild

 

[jrips27]

HRRR seems to show some rotating cells ahead of the line near and south of Birmingham

 

[jrips27]

Nothing crazy from Nadocast but this could be a mildly significant event

 

[jrips27]

Man still uptrending. No way we get a moderate today right?

 

[tempo47]

It feels very cold for tornados in Walton area unless it’s supposed to warm up later, I know it’s only like a 2% chance here but I didn’t even think that was possible with the temps

 

[Darklordsuperstorm]

I feel like the slight risk is way to far north. A lot of work needs to be done to get severe weather that far north.

 

[jrips27]

Enhanced expanded a bit with the new update

 

[Darklordsuperstorm]

My gut tells me the severe weather in Alabama will stay confined to this area today. The air north of this is getting really worked over. It's cool and stable.

 

[jrips27]

 

[jrips27]

HRRR continues to highlight the area near Birmingham and south for some UH tracks this evening. Curious if we actually get rotating storms so far north. Maybe keying on some interaction near the warm front?

 

[Darklordsuperstorm]

HRRR continues to highlight the area near Birmingham and south for some UH tracks this evening. Curious if we actually get rotating storms so far north. Maybe keying on some interaction near the warm front?
View attachment 168505

It's been low 50s with rain/drizzle all day In that area all day. The atmosphere is going to have to recover a lot to get severe storms that far north. The warm Front has not moved much at all today.

 

[jrips27]

It's been low 50s with rain/drizzle all day In that area all day. The atmosphere is going to have to recover a lot to get severe storms that far north. The warm Front has not moved much at all today.

Yeah I tend to agree with you. Definitely think the area you highlighted a few posts above is at the highest risk. New SPC outlook in an hour or so

Last few runs of the HRRR has kept the warm sector pretty confined to south Alabama

 

[jrips27]

 

[jrips27]

Pretty impressive numbers on that new watch

 

[jrips27]

 

[BufordWX]

Couplet east of Hattiesburg is trying to ramp up.

 

[jrips27]

 

[BufordWX]

Storm in SW Alabama is strengthening quickly. If it stays in the unstable environment it could pose problems.

 

[BufordWX]

Storm in SW Alabama is strengthening quickly. If it stays in the unstable environment it could pose problems.View attachment 168561

PDS warned now. Tornado near Coffeeville.

 

[BufordWX]

PDS warned now. Tornado near Coffeeville.View attachment 168562

Storm looks like it is weakening, but something got hit earlier as there is quite a bit of debris fallout showing up.

 

[BufordWX]

Strong couplet coming together in Clarke County, MS. However, its pretty far from the radars since its gonna be moving through the S MS/AL radar hole.

 

[BufordWX]

Storm to the south took off and now has a tornado down.

 

[Arcc]

Not warned and CC is so/so. But I would not be surprised if a weak tornado is on the ground west of Eclectic.

Impressive supercell putting out near constant lightning here.

 

[cyclogent]

CHA has logged 35 consecutive hours with rain (and still going). Storm total so far is 3.38", all of it with temps between 43 and 48. Very good nap weather though the last couple of days, that's for sure.