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Severe 12/10-11 Severe Weather

Appears to be a classic high shear/low instability setup, as tradition dictates this time of year. Hi-res guidance has a line of gusty showers moving through tomorrow afternoon, perhaps some embedded storms though doesn't look conducive for more than a few rumbles of thunder here.
 
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Although nearshore waters in the 50s will result in a surface stable
layer across coastal portions of the Cape Fear region where
south-southwesterly winds align with a fetch over the cool
waters, the very strong low-level flow and potential for breaks
in the clouds in the morning to midday timeframe before the
arrival of the main convective band may be enough to mix the
stable layer out where it is shallow enough away from the coast.
Where this stable layer sets up will likely demarcate where
severe weather can occur on Wednesday, with areas inland of
this stable layer under a threat for damaging wind gusts over
60mph and isolated tornadoes as the main convective band pushes
in ahead of the front. This threat would be enhanced if semi-
discrete convection forms, but guidance is not very supportive
of this scenario at this time. The front should push offshore
around or soon after sunset with very strong cold advection
ensuing behind it.
 
68/68 with some sun though round 1 incoming....had thunder last night as well...if the sun can come out after this first line maybe this afternoon could get rough but these setups almost always end up meh.
 
Those cells coming out of SC into W Piedmont look interesting. Need to keep an eye on them as they move east
 
Special Weather Statement
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1020 AM EST Wed Dec 11 2024

Lee NC-Chatham NC-Franklin NC-Vance NC-Durham NC-Alamance NC- Randolph NC-Wake NC-Granville NC-Orange NC-Moore NC- 1020 AM EST Wed Dec 11 2024

...AN AREA OF HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS WITH AN EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN ALAMANCE...NORTH CENTRAL MOORE...SOUTHWESTERN VANCE...ORANGE...SOUTHERN GRANVILLE... SOUTHEASTERN RANDOLPH...NORTHWESTERN LEE...NORTHERN WAKE...DURHAM... CHATHAM AND NORTHWESTERN FRANKLIN COUNTIES THROUGH 1115 AM EST...

At 1018 AM EST, Doppler radar was tracking an area of heavy rain showers with an embedded thunderstorm over Goldston, or 10 miles southeast of Siler City, moving northeast at 70 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include... Raleigh, Durham, Cary, Chapel Hill, Hillsborough, Creedmoor, Pittsboro, Siler City, Wake Forest, and Carrboro.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Heavy rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.
 
Special Weather Statement
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1143 AM EST Wed Dec 11 2024

Johnston NC-Franklin NC-Harnett NC-Wake NC-Granville NC- Cumberland NC- 1143 AM EST Wed Dec 11 2024

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT HARNETT...SOUTHEASTERN GRANVILLE...NORTHWESTERN CUMBERLAND...WAKE...NORTHWESTERN JOHNSTON AND SOUTHWESTERN FRANKLIN COUNTIES THROUGH 1215 PM EST...

At 1142 AM EST, Doppler radar was tracking a line of strong thunderstorms along a line extending from near Raleigh to 9 miles northwest of Pope AFB. Movement was northeast at 70 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include... Raleigh, Cary, Louisburg, Lillington, Wake Forest, Garner, Fuquay-Varina, Clayton, Dunn, and Zebulon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
 
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