ForsythSnow
Moderator
12Z NAM was a good hit for many in AL and GA, let's bring an event for us home
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Wintry 1/25 Winter Weather Potential
- Thread starter ForsythSnow
- Start date
Stephenb888
Member
I haven’t looked at the models but what’s with the sharp cut off going into Sc. Is it no precip or just not cold enough for snow?12Z NAM was a good hit for many in AL and GA, let's bring an event for us home
Marginal temps
NAM is very close to a much bigger deal. A couple degrees from a blistering.
Let's go. I've been watching this guy for days now.
Extremely marginal boundary layer temps, but if the rates are there a southern slop fest it is.
Extremely marginal boundary layer temps, but if the rates are there a southern slop fest it is.
Snowflowxxl
Member
Wow I hadn’t been following this. Let’s reel it in
On the other hand the NAM isn’t far from skunking AL, GA and hitting TN.
LovingGulfLows
Member
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Ofc, I'm on the wrong side of the cutoff like I am nearly every storm.
Parker
Member
Hope the NAM is onto something but there is absolutely not a single ensemble member from the EPS or GEFS with any snowfall, I don’t like that.
Such a beautiful track though
Such a beautiful track though
Showmeyourtds
Member
I say I say I believe we've just been flim-NAM'd, as Foghorn Leghorn would say.
GFS has a system with similar positioning at the same time, but that's it.
I'm all in.
GFS has a system with similar positioning at the same time, but that's it.
I'm all in.
Given the track and upper air, this system really has a chance. In the end, though, it has heartbreak written all over it. As modeled, above freezing surface temps with rate dependant snowfall happening during the middle of the day will any real make accumulations extremely difficult.
But we weenies will do what weenies do.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Not sure how far it is from what happened in Feb 2020 but I have a similar feel to it. Small event that showed up and was really mostly ignored to be maybe a dusting event at best until the modeling got closer and it turned into a nice event for many across N GA.
Oconeexman
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Rgem coming in similar to nam..edit its about 6hrs slower
Last edited:
ForsythSnow
Moderator
As expected the ICON jumped back toward a colder solution but still went warmer
bingcrosbyb
Member
Tuesday looks very interesting. Lots of energy at H5.
Attachments
RGEM was a swing and a miss. Just a weak SLP with rain mostly confined to the coast
Oconeexman
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Not much there to push cold air down tbh...of course the Nam has been God awful so we will see about globals
Showmeyourtds
Member
I think this is the event you were referring to.
Brief dusting to RN/SN mix down this way. 4 to 6 for my in-laws near Cumming
February 8, 2020 Snow in North Georgia
www.weather.gov
I recall it being picked up by short-range models but essentially ignored by globals until they were useless
Parker
Member
GFS was similar to RGEM. Suppressed and warm