Yeah the northern stream did not look better that run at all. The SW interaction was better early on especially but still. I figured the surface reflection we got from the HRRR and EURO would match the NAMs H5 and I don't even think the NAM surface reflection would've been good enough for what the HRRR looked like at H5. That had boom written all over it.
Does this mean the moisture is going to be future west than what the models are showing
Your LP in the Atlantic is closer back toward the coast, keeps creeping closer every run. Need it on Hatteras, wed all be hammered, pref wilm.
I live between Manning and Summerton right on I-95 I think we are in a good spot for some kind of wintry wx.
It's supportive of more moisture back further west but doesn't mean it will happen. Just that the upper atmosphere looks like there should be more moisture at least back towards the 26 corridor.
The one thing that did stand out about the NAM run was that 700mb jet being in a prime spot for moisture back this way. It really is something that we’re this close in and there is still such a spread of how this could go
I'd watch out for some legit ice around that way.
That’s a little ahead of schedule if that is to be believed
It's definitely supportive of more moisture falling than what is being depicted on the surface. There a lot of lift around 500mb with a decently saturated column for at least 6 hours even back my way.
Wow did not think the rain snow line would be this far south at this point!
Mping seems to support it which is crazy, was not expecting that.
