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Pattern April Oven

Got screwed yesterday vs models projections..only 0.10 and got screwed again this morning..only .20.. with much heavier amounts in all directions only a few miles away..sigh.
 
Drizzle Snizzle said:
The drought continues to worsen. 80% of Georgia is now in an Extreme Drought and 33% is an Exceptional Drought. View attachment 195741
Click to expand...

I believe that there’s notable reporting lag. I don’t mean just that the map is as of 8AM of two days ago (4/28).

Note that not a single area of the SE got better on the map released today vs the map released one week ago (in addition to many areas getting worse). See the maps below. I don’t see how that’s reflecting reality.

Based on looking at rainfall reports across the SE for prior to 8AM on Tue there was moderate to heavy rainfall in portions of especially N AL to S NC during the several days prior to April 28th. Despite that, some of those counties actually got worse vs the map as of the prior weekly map. I believe that due to the time needed to gather reports that there’s reporting lag of perhaps a few days. In other words, these maps as of Tue at 8AM are in reality probably reflecting closer to, say, an average of 8AM on Saturday or whatever. Tue at 8AM is just the deadline to get reports in so they have time to compile the map for the Thu AM release. In reality, there’d be reports coming in before Tue…say on a Saturday for example. And then that Sat submission could have been based on a Fri or Thu observation.

Map released one week ago:
IMG_0307.png

Map released today: no improvement anywhere and worse in many spots: not realistic imho…example much of my county got nearly 1” of rain on Sunday (heaviest since March 6th), well before Tue 8AM deadline for submission, and yet my county got a worse designation!
IMG_0306.png
 
Avg: 66.7
Max: 87.0
Min: 39.1
Rain: 5.63" (1" fell in the first five days, the rest in the last 6 days)

Despite the decent looking rain total, of course the winter was very dry. The heat of the middle three weeks of April really worked to dry out everything and cause some crown dieback in conifers that aren't used to spring droughts.

Average temperature was about 5 degrees higher than my station's average.
 
I had ~0.05” yesterday morning, which brought me up to a total of ~1.5” for April, <50% of the normal of ~3.25” but ~double what I got in March (which was almost all on March 8th by the way). The last 1” of the 1.5” was received just since April 26th on 3 different days with most of that (0.8”) falling on 4/26.
 
Amazed that we had this radar presentation yesterday and most areas saw a tenth or slightly less.

We wound up with 0.2" for the month of April.
 

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Average high/low of 80ºF/54ºF (6ºF above average), absolute monthly max/min of 90ºF and 39ºF, 1.68" of rainfall (43% of average), spread over 5 rain days here for April. The warmth was honestly more impressive than the dryness here, sure it was dry but nowhere near record dry, but it was the warmest April on record, beating out 2017 and 2025.
 
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