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Pattern Another Angry August: Broiled, Baked, and Bone-Dry

NWS GSP AM update: pretty much nailed it: “As of 125 AM EDT Wednesday: Starting off the forecast period in a
soupy mess of showers and gross humidity”


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NCSNOW said:
Another record we have too be setting, but no data/ metric to compare. Is sunlight in August. I can't ever remember so many days with 0 sunshine . They have what's called cooling degree days, but not sure what that's all about. Believe it's tied to solar insulation. If you are dependent on pure solar, you have had some challenges, most likely this month at times.
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CDD is how much a day’s mean between max and min is over 65 F. Example: if max 90 and min 70 that averages 80 or 15 CDD.
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
Sheesh is it ever gonna stop raining in Raleigh?
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John Candy No GIF by Laff
 
lexxnchloe said:
Nice Sept preview

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Why do you continually post these outlandish maps? We've all been on these boards for a hundred years, and like, it's cool to see every once in a while...or in the context of a long range forecast analysis or something.

But to just carpet bomb the place with maps of the CFS at 600 hours isn't serious. The tropical, storm, and pattern threads are supposed to be serious threads. I know it's slow, but let's at least try and keep things in the realm of plausible. Plllllease.
 
Yeah, it was actually quite miserable yesterday (it’s looking as if taking a blend between GFS/Euro temps should’ve occurred and we’re closer to that now), but it’s rained all night here.

It’s probably finally close to quitting though.

I wish I didn’t know that it was to an extent. Gah my sleep has been garbage for a while. Granted, I think all night may be “some before 11 PM and then starting again at 4ish in the morning,” and we may probably somehow come out with a total below 1” again.

Edit: okay, forget the joking around, the yard was close to flooded. That was probably at least 2" and for a change, the far southern part of the county was hit hard with rain.
 
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GeorgiaGirl said:
Yeah, it was actually quite miserable yesterday (it’s looking as if taking a blend between GFS/Euro temps should’ve occurred and we’re closer to that now), but it’s rained all night here.

It’s probably finally close to quitting though.

I wish I didn’t know that it was to an extent. Gah my sleep has been garbage for a while. Granted, I think all night may be “some before 11 PM and then starting again at 4ish in the morning,” and we may probably somehow come out with a total below 1” again.

Edit: okay, forget the joking around, the yard was close to flooded. That was probably at least 2" and for a change, the far southern part of the county was hit hard with rain.
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1.6" last night/early morning in multiple rounds of storms, still somehow less than what it feels, but a number that makes more sense.

I'm definitely over my July total as well.
 
@Shaggy , you missed this?

tornado warning for Brunswick near Sunset Beach. A confirmed waterspout is expected to come onshore.
EDIT: a second warning has been issued for Holden Beach/Southport Areas
 

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It’s getting dark in the N sky here and the radar says strong thunderstorms are on the way as an outflow boundary is coming through:

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
635 PM EDT FRI AUG 15 2025

GAZ118-119-SCZ047-051-152330-
COASTAL CHATHAM GA-INLAND CHATHAM GA-COASTAL JASPER SC-INLAND
JASPER SC-
635 PM EDT FRI AUG 15 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT JASPER AND CHATHAM COUNTIES
UNTIL 730 PM EDT...

AT 635 PM EDT, DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
BELLINGER HILL AREA, MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 15 MPH.

HAZARD...WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH AND PENNY SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...GUSTY WINDS COULD KNOCK DOWN TREE LIMBS AND BLOW AROUND
UNSECURED OBJECTS. MINOR DAMAGE TO OUTDOOR OBJECTS IS POSSIBLE.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
POOLER, BLUFFTON, HUTCHINSON ISLAND, DOWNTOWN SAVANNAH, BELLINGER
HILL AREA, SAVANNAH INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, GODLEY STATION,
WILMINGTON ISLAND, GARDEN CITY AND PORT WENTWORTH.

———
Edit: I got only little. I’ll call it a T.
 
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Temperature wise, the first half of August has been cool and enjoyable comparable to what the dog days of summer normally bring. It has been wet this month, especially this past week in the RDU area. Now we shift to a more normal August pattern for the next week or so. August will still end up quite a bit below normal temperature wise and above normal precipitation wise. It could end up well above normal precipitation wise if anything tropical in nature shows up during the last days of the month.
 
Thunderstorms that popped up along the seabreeze have resulted in moderate to heavy rain here since 1:45. I’m >1” and adding to that. So, I’m >13” for MTD!

Edit: I ended up with ~1.6” on 8/16. That gets me to a whopping ~13.6” for Aug 1-16! Some in the county got as much as ~3” around the Windsor Forest area.
 
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Raining pretty hard for the past hour here. If I can get it to slack up, probably going to risk going outside while it's still cloudy.

Sometimes it works out, but then sometimes it's insufferable to do so.
 
Similar to yesterday earlier in the afternoon, thunderstorms with some heavy rains have just popped up including here along the seabreeze. Rain starting and just heard thunder.
 
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