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Pattern Morch
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
March will save winter for those who need it!!! 
We are not done. I’m saying that confidently to. We aren’t done at all. 
- Joined
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Early Morch possibly could deliver for NC and TN, but it's nigh impossible further south. But, I'll take any cold while I can get it before the swamp air returns for good!
edit: I'm forever calling this "Morch" now.
Twister
Member
We are after about mid month. Better score first 2wks or It's goodbye time
As your 06z EC AI forecast, @griteater, and the MJO P1 analogs all allude to, I think we'll contend with at least one bowling ball upper low threat the first 7-10 days of March.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The dominoes starting to fall for a major mid month pattern change over North America. It will obviously be cold before then and we could see a threat for a winter storm show up in early March.
Nice negative E Asia Mountain Torque shows up next week and along with the MJO, starts the process of retracting the north pacific jet stream. This will eventually lead to a -PNA/SE ridge type pattern closer to mid month. It will just take a while for the downstream wave pattern to fully catch up and adjust
Nice negative E Asia Mountain Torque shows up next week and along with the MJO, starts the process of retracting the north pacific jet stream. This will eventually lead to a -PNA/SE ridge type pattern closer to mid month. It will just take a while for the downstream wave pattern to fully catch up and adjust
WolfpackHomer91
Member
Need this thing to wrap up tight and hit us with a classic Snow Map..... 20-30" Elevations / 12-18" Foothills / 6-8" CAD N/W I85.....So IK that setup is actually still possible in my head.
EDIT: So it feels real I need to See Wake/Meck split in half on Mix ....sorry guys
Another storm that’s always fascinated me:
tennessee storm
Member
Yeah. Good riddance winter …
WolfpackHomer91
Member
Here we go! Now it feels like home fellas! Where is Stevo and JHS .... need them to come in and say "its not possible to snow here, idc what your stupid computers say"
Iceagewhereartthou
Member
Well if foothills can get 12-18 then N/W 85 can do better. Make it a 8-14 and we'll call it a deal!
WolfpackHomer91
Member
Thats true, but im predicting a Heck of a Sleety nostril right over GSP - CLT Metro. I was thinking that 6-8" Would be accompanied by 1-2" of Pure sleet and 1/4 " FRZN .... Goodluck Sun Angle bros
The clipper will trend south! Right where we want it!
Downeastnc
Member
Big snow the first week of March is legendary around here. MAR 1980..it is the benchmark all other storms are compared to...I would love to have a new benchmark storm.
but of course we will settle for an 09 redux
broken025
Member
After March 10 I hope we torch. Give me some upper 70s / low 80s 
Yes. We’ve got a cruise on the 20th. I don’t think i can stomach driving through any more Florida snow on my way to Port Canaveral.After March 10 I hope we torch. Give me some upper 70s / low 80s
When the bathtub finally sloshes, it’s going to flood the kitchen
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Thanks, AI.
- Joined
- Jan 5, 2017
- Messages
- 3,566
- Reaction score
- 5,542
I hope it's CAD for days, to keep the tornadoes away.After March 10 I hope we torch. Give me some upper 70s / low 80s
WolfpackHomer91
Member
Any chance we could link up a SnowNado imagine that rates
Downeastnc
Member
I mean I got zilch in that sooooooooo.....
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Sameee
That broke my 13-year-old heart.
I'd actually be willing to gamble on a ULL if one appears this time though, otherwise, let's go to spring (hopefully average-ish weather though) and maybe next year for my area (although I'm happy with this winter), figure out how to get a cold pattern that is slightly less extreme that dumps on this corridor that me, Mitch, Shawn, etc are in, instead of to the south.
SASQUATCH
Mobile, AL: Snow Capital of the South
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Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Latest Euro weeklies keep the idea going of early March cold then a sudden transition to spring mid-month.
I suspect after that the -NAO tries to make a come back near the tail end of March into early April w/ the -PNA & Scandinavian ridge returning and western hemisphere MJO orbit, all usually precursors to said -NAO regime.
Then a few weeks later (mid to late April or so) all hell breaks loose w/ the tornado season, especially over the lower-mid MS & TN valley. -NAO regimes also usually precede periods with big tornado outbreak potential in the spring by a couple weeks & this year's base state is very conducive to big outbreaks. Arguably the closest thing I've seen to 2011 since.
I suspect after that the -NAO tries to make a come back near the tail end of March into early April w/ the -PNA & Scandinavian ridge returning and western hemisphere MJO orbit, all usually precursors to said -NAO regime.
Then a few weeks later (mid to late April or so) all hell breaks loose w/ the tornado season, especially over the lower-mid MS & TN valley. -NAO regimes also usually precede periods with big tornado outbreak potential in the spring by a couple weeks & this year's base state is very conducive to big outbreaks. Arguably the closest thing I've seen to 2011 since.
tennessee storm
Member
So ready for chase season to begin. Hoping I haven’t got drive to far see the top action close by this spring . Before things shift west in may
wow
Member
It begins...
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
Snow in March in Atlanta happens like once every 15 or 20 years.
rburrel2
Member
Ha I love this one. Can I post it on X?
Every storm chance on southernwx.com begins with a NOAA 8-14 Outlook and a good analog 
It’s not as hard as the warministas would have you think to get snow in march. We are due.
tractor girl
Member
JHS
Member
Here is the reason why snow is so hard to get now and it's only going to harder now. MUCH harder. Those dark colors will take over the entire country on the 2001-2030 map.
MNGR