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July Surprise!

I guess so. I'm getting annoyed, 4 out of the last 5 summers Ive had dry periods of over 3 weeks. Poops old

I mean this is nuts. Literally can see rain falling across a big field that's maybe 1.5 miles from me to the tree line. Not a drop here.
 

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I mean this is nuts. Literally can see rain falling across a big field that's maybe 1.5 miles from me to the tree line. Not a drop here.
Dad just text me that he's at 1.25 today. Thats on top of 2.3 Saturday and .7 Sunday hes only 25 miles away. This blows, I can't even get a consolation prize moderate rain that's .25-.33
 
many times have I seen a radar image like this so far this summer, always to my north F803627B-625E-49B0-8AD3-AAFB2FA33ABC.png
 
Sun is shining here, CIN has eroded, SB/ML Capes are building, PWATS increasing to around 2 inches. Yep I bet we fail

My concern for today is we get big convection going from say MHX to FAY that barfs out an outflow boundary moving N and we start to see more isolated to scattered convection as it moves north.
Boom
 
Well after nearly an inch of rain here in southern Union County, the sun is trying to come out, so maybe we have enough to destabilize the atmosphere to get some good evening storms

That's what I am hoping for, but I don't want to get too excited and then be disappointed once again.
 
Saturday. Looks good, nice trough in place with up to 30kts of 500mb flow so maybe storms can form in the way we like off the mountains into the piedmont to ENC ? 08BEED1A-E317-4828-9015-C5882BBA5592.png399E0945-FA48-4FF1-BAE8-E1933E47174B.png04598863-DCFB-4927-B9B7-14AEBE455B7A.png102F4B93-60C7-4DFC-B1CB-C871A32CC08B.png
 
Saturday. Looks good, nice trough in place with up to 30kts of 500mb flow so maybe storms can form in the way we like off the mountains into the piedmont to ENC ? View attachment 43812View attachment 43813View attachment 43814View attachment 43815

That doesn't happen anymore. When I was a kid it was at least 2 to 3 times a week we would get these lines from the piedmont that would hit around 5 or 6pm. Hours of stratiform afterwards with long rolling thunder.
 
Well, I just wasted an hour out (as I didn't find what I wanted to find at that store) but as I was coming home I found myself in an intense rainstorm. That got my anxiety up and I'm just now starting to settle down.
 
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