Lightning out the window. Storms about to roll in. Feels like a mid summer night
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March 2026 - Winter or Spring?
- Thread starter packfan98
- Start date
The thread title should have also included “summer” as an option. The emerging flying bugs must be ecstatic! We might as well have fireflies now.
Well, KATL had their second straight 83 record high beating the old record by 3 again!
Despite the progged cooldown for 3/13-4 and 3/16-23, all of which I’m so looking forward to for relief, we’re looking at the potential for one of the warmest Marches on record.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Still mid-70's at what will be coming up on 11:00 as of tomorrow.
Completely appalling. Guess our luck was always going to run out on us at least having at about near normal weather.
Completely appalling. Guess our luck was always going to run out on us at least having at about near normal weather.
Light show
she’s putting down 
Holding at damn near 70 as we approach midnight. What is this, June? Winter in shambles!
accu35
Member
Ready for fall again
trackersacker
Member
Very nice 00z Euro AI for day 10
Brent
Member
Wind chill is 36
It actually feels like March today! You know back in the day it used to snow in March here or so I've heard
Oh and not to worry Monday might be near 85 before potentially more severe weather Tuesday
It actually feels like March today! You know back in the day it used to snow in March here or so I've heard
Oh and not to worry Monday might be near 85 before potentially more severe weather Tuesday
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March is no longer a spring month. We need to face up to the fact that the only spring month left is Feb.
March 1-11 of 2026 is likely headed fpr a record high at KATL for Mar 1-11, beating out Mar 1-11 of 1974. It’s likely going to end up near the normal for Apr 25-May 5!
Edit: I may as well say that March 1-15 of 2026 is also likely headed for a record high there.
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RollTide18
Member
Here in Alabama we had pop up storms yesterday and a dying MCS coming through this morning
It’s just March 8th
0.62" from storms last night. Only got down to 61F this morning and we sit at 67F now with cloudy skies. Should see showers increase in coverage this afternoon and get a few more rumbles of thunder somewhere in the Piedmont. Records going down on Wednesday, potentially:
lexxnchloe
Member
Lets get back to winter
lexxnchloe
Member
The models have been going back and forth for days on something happening around the 18th. There will be a cooldown mid month after the record highs many of us will see next week but I'm skeptical at best that we will have a chance of anything this dramatic. It wouldn't break my heart if winter could go out with a bang.
iwantsouthernsnow123
Member
Yeah from a anafrontal system in March? Absolutely not, such a terrible model. The pacific shortwave timing after seems like BS too in my opinion. This type of setup doesn't work in January, it'll especially not work in March. Not buying it even for a second unless we see major improvements.
12Z: Unlike the dreamy fantasyland for entertainment only GFS, the Euro has no wintry to speak of outside the mtns. But the CMC during a similar fantasyland timeframe has a sleet and freezing rain scenario very much fwiw of course (just for entertainment…enjoy lol):
ZR:
IP:
ZR:
IP:
iwantsouthernsnow123
Member
Adding onto this, we do have completely reversed zonal winds at 60N, which the PV has completely split into 2 lobes. As long as the NA lobe stays over NA, then weird things can happen. My best bet would be a winter storms further south than usual, but most likely not far south like the SE US. In addition, you can also see a very large spike, about 40c temps on the north pole as seen on the top graphic. This means for the firs time in quite a while, the PV is active in march, this is where things get dicey. It is important to monitor trends during setups like this as PV does not enjoy playing by the rules at all.
Had some yellow cake dust on the car this morning before heading to church. Wasnt heavy, but noticeable. Earliest ive ever seen it
I guess March is going to be a combo of all seasons. Warning: this 0Z GFS Kuchera clown, which looks similar to the 12Z, is purely for entertainment:
OTOH, 0Z CMC has dropped the NC sleet/freezing rain of the 12Z.
OTOH, 0Z CMC has dropped the NC sleet/freezing rain of the 12Z.
NBAcentel
Member
Starting to think in late March as the four corners ridge slides east, we see more summer like heat as the ridge leaks east and transports the attendant EML/warm 850s further east, sort of in warm season heat release fashion. Probably the west SE first then areas further east.
LOL 6z GFS says enjoy the thunderstorm/ change to snow Thursday.
Then says adios to all the leaf out / greened up Grass on March 18th
Then says adios to all the leaf out / greened up Grass on March 18th
Always hopeful for wintery precip, but a big freeze should be our main concern the next couple of weeks. I have some fruit trees already in full bloom.
This 3/18ish system has been showing up at times on the modeling for a while. It probably won’t work out, but it’s not crazy, either. We’re in mid-March, not April.
AIFS is quite cold with freezes for many next Tue/Wed. Teens & maybe flakes up top.
KATL’s warmest March on record is the 64.5F of 2012. That appears out of reach. However, their 2nd warmest is the 61.8 of 1945. Is it reachable?
As it is now, a record warmest first 1/2 of March near 64.5 is looking likely there assuming I haven’t missed any warmer ones. But then it’s looking to cool down significantly to ~50 for 3/16-22. That would bring the MTD down to ~60 as of March 22. After that, March 23-31 would need to average above 66 to get the full March average to 61.8. That’s ~8 AN for 3/23-31. I suppose there’d be a chance for it to be that warm although that’s 2-3 weeks away, too far to be able to predict.
As it is now, a record warmest first 1/2 of March near 64.5 is looking likely there assuming I haven’t missed any warmer ones. But then it’s looking to cool down significantly to ~50 for 3/16-22. That would bring the MTD down to ~60 as of March 22. After that, March 23-31 would need to average above 66 to get the full March average to 61.8. That’s ~8 AN for 3/23-31. I suppose there’d be a chance for it to be that warm although that’s 2-3 weeks away, too far to be able to predict.
NBAcentel
Member
Hope the cool lovers enjoy the cooler weather in mid March. When that bubble ridge moves east some and releases with scorching 850s and EML/steep mid level lapse rates, we are gonna bake
Hopefully not, fro. Although I see a warm last week of March like you’re expecting as quite possible per my previous post that could mean 2nd warmest March on record at KATL, that still being 2-3 weeks out means that there’s still a good amount of uncertainty about the degree of warmth.
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accu35
Member
I’ll take itI don’t believe any of this sticking that far out on an op model, especially that late in March, but some falling/snow TV is not impossible. So, fwiw here’s the more realistic Kuchera…take accumulations with a grain!
Sleet: Take accumulations with a grain although sleet falling wouldn’t be a total shocker:
dsaur
Member
Well, the Tiger mosquitos are out and biting, so I'd say the cold we had wasn't enough to slow them down even. Air on and repellent too!
79F so far today at GSP and IMBY. 69F at nearby Hogback Mtn up at 3255', which is honestly even more impressive than clipping 80F again would be down here in the high hundreds elevation.
Way up north in Hickory, 73F so far as they lag behind the western Foothills due to stubborn fog lingering into the 11 o'clock hour. Morganton up to 78F. MRN is always warmer than HKY, but exaggerated today. Even old man Mitchell is considering changing into shorts and a hoodie at 55F. Wish I was up top today, such a great day to be out.
Way up north in Hickory, 73F so far as they lag behind the western Foothills due to stubborn fog lingering into the 11 o'clock hour. Morganton up to 78F. MRN is always warmer than HKY, but exaggerated today. Even old man Mitchell is considering changing into shorts and a hoodie at 55F. Wish I was up top today, such a great day to be out.
Assuming GSP doesn't clip 80F today, we almost certainly will tomorrow and Wednesday, which would make the 2nd and 3rd 80F readings of this March. 3 March 80s would be the most since 2021, and if we can notch a handful more late month, perhaps we can gun for the most since 2012 had 9.
Iceagewhereartthou
Member
Crazy town here. I have never seen the lawns already green and growing this early; EVER. Onions and dandelions growing, hydrangeas leafing out, cherries and redbuds coming out, Bradford pears already turning green, pollen. GSP average low for today is 39; haven't been below 50 since 3/4 and below 40 since 2/24. Everytime I think we can't possibly have an even warmer Feb/March they prove me wrong. I really do have a FL climate now.
Got up to 88° at KTLH this afternoon, breaking the old daily record high of 87°. Plenty other records almost reached or surpassed along the Gulf Coast today
Also, here is the latest look at the local (small) lake in my neighborhood. Completely dried up with cracking ground. 70% of the state of Florida now under an extreme drought and water shortage advisories/warnings issued in each of the 5 water management districts. Need some rain badly!
