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Misc General Banter Thread

I kinda love that those who typically wishcast our state into something with a much smaller chance of giving us anything, are writing this off. Models are locked in, no need to even watch anymore šŸ˜‚

12z eps doubled its members and had multiple big dogs. Yall are crazy.
 
Tbh, I'd actually happily take a "cold" version of January 2000 with me being in the far east in Georgia. My dad has told me some stuff about me getting my first snow as a 4-year-old with the only thing that lines up here being the Carolina Crusher.

I don't think I can gather it up anymore, but there has been a fading memory for me of my old dance studio covered in snow.

Dad ended up not being happy because he had decided to hold off thinking that we could play in the snow in the morning, but we flipped back to rain, and it was all gone except for some ice around.
 
Engeo said:
To be honest, I think the speaking in absolutes is a huge problem. I always wince when I see the messaging that any outcome ā€œwillā€ happen vs. ā€œhas a strong chanceā€ of happening, ā€œwill most likelyā€ happen, etc., even if itā€™s hours before the event. The public has the right to be frustrated by a forecast bust even if itā€™s that we barely dodged a bullet.
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Relying on Bergeron process physics to save our rear ends from a historic ice storm in the Carolinas when itā€™s close to unprecedented to have a wedge that stout is way too thin a margin for mets to not have sounded the alarm on this. Sometimes things work out for the best and people need to take the W on not living through disaster.
 
Parker said:
I kinda love that those who typically wishcast our state into something with a much smaller chance of giving us anything, are writing this off. Models are locked in, no need to even watch anymore

12z eps doubled its members and had multiple big dogs. Yall are crazy.
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Iā€™m gonna go check the some of the southern cities and show you what I see!


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
chapelhillwx said:
BrickBot has booted up. Beep boop.
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Artificial Intelligence Dancing GIF
 
I wish this GFS run would hurry because I'm going to need to get dressed and get ready to drive in lolol.

I should be able to see it, but it's cutting it close.
 
BKWRN29 said:
I asked a simple question because I am trying to learn. Why are you even offended? lol I canā€™t imagine having such a lame and sorry life, that I need to resort to being an internet troll. Just curious, how old are you? Lol
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and i answered, at first directly and then expounded in it. in response you came to the banter thread and said i had a childish obsession of snow and it was a form of mental illness. that ruffled feathers. happy to explain things but please be civil. i'm surprised what i thought was a sober comment on alabama went over like that. i have a subconscious bias towards richmond but otherwise i think i'm pretty fair and root for everyone to get significant events
 
blueheronNC said:
Relying on Bergeron process physics to save our rear ends from a historic ice storm in the Carolinas when itā€™s close to unprecedented to have a wedge that stout is way too thin a margin for mets to not have sounded the alarm on this. Sometimes things work out for the best and people need to take the W on not living through disaster.
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Of course. I just think itā€™s a problem when the message received by the public is that something is guaranteed to happen, when there is always uncertainty in a forecast. Those on this board know the margins were razor thin, but that isnā€™t how it was communicated to the public at all.
 
I had about 1 1/2ā€ of sleet yesterday! Had fun though even at work! Early on it was a massive snow storm ( models) . This coming weekend looks more of the same! This perfect pattern for us in the SE , what can go wrong. We can find 1005 ways to blank again. Hard to be optimistic given every turn has exceptions. I know, if I want snow, move North. Why has it been so hard to get an inch of snow the past 5 years?
 
Parker said:
I kinda love that those who typically wishcast our state into something with a much smaller chance of giving us anything, are writing this off. Models are locked in, no need to even watch anymore šŸ˜‚

12z eps doubled its members and had multiple big dogs. Yall are crazy.
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We all have PTSD from being left out of the snow the last two storms. It's self-preservation to say "nope, it won't happen."
 
I know these systems always trend N or NW, especially the warm nose. But last week we didn't have a LP couple hundred miles offshore and it's an entirely different setup as modeled atm. Will it trend NW, I'm sure but only so far it can go imho
 
RBR71 said:
I know these systems always trend N or NW, especially the warm nose. But last week we didn't have a LP couple hundred miles offshore and it's an entirely different setup as modeled atm. Will it trend NW, I'm sure but only so far it can go imho
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I think it can go NW quite a bit, but there is a point of diminishing returns unless the lobe dives farther south initially.
 
RBR71 said:
I know these systems always trend N or NW, especially the warm nose. But last week we didn't have a LP couple hundred miles offshore and it's an entirely different setup as modeled atm. Will it trend NW, I'm sure but only so far it can go imho
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I agree that it likely wonā€™t trend all of the way back to low coming into AL like where the last one ended up at. But there are still 5 days to go and notable N/NW trending of the Arctic high and the attendant 2m cold has already been occurring as I just posted.
 
For us back west (MS/AL/GA/TN), the ONLY way this works for us is a more westward trend with the northern stream. It needs to dig down into AR and slowly slide east, popping off a SLP in the NW Gulf. Anything other than that and its just too late. We will not get snow out of a positively tilted TPV coming into TN.
 
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