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Jan. 17-18, 2026 SE Winter Weather Threat

weather bubba said:
You and me both. I had completely given up on this event 48 hours ago but now I'm not 100% certain that we won't end up with an accumulation even if it is only a dusting. It's a shame to waste most of the precipitation because there is no blocking high in place over the Northeast.
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I was thinking the same thing, neighbor, but watching the models come in last night and this morning made me keep interest. Ironically, the NW trend showing up was simply increasing the dynamics here instead of pushing it NW. I think since this trough formed further east (instead of its axis being more west as we typically see) it threw a lot of smart folks off. We will see tomorrow, but would expect to at least see some snow fall (maybe even heavy) for a bit.
 
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weatherfide said:
46.8, dewpoint 35. Quite a few rain mPing reports north of Atlanta. Interesting.
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As far as I've seen, humidity at the surface has considerably spiked and I assume at this point the columns north or @ ATL have saturated a decent bit. Now the cold just needs to happen before that saturation may be lost.

I can also confirm a consistent light drizzle near Macon.
 
anc.py said:
As far as I've seen, humidity at the surface has considerably spiked and I assume at this point the columns north or @ ATL have saturated a decent bit. Now the cold just needs to happen before that saturation may be lost.

I can also confirm a consistent light drizzle near Macon.
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When the front pushes through, so will the spotty showers.....its not happening in ATL or north of there.
 
weatherfide said:
46.8, dewpoint 35. Quite a few rain mPing reports north of Atlanta. Interesting.
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Just north of Atlanta where I am at, the precipitation despite producing returns of 25dbz is barely spitting any mist and drizzle. Not sure why as I was under the impression the air would get close to saturation here with this first wave.
 
HailCore said:
Just north of Atlanta where I am at, the precipitation despite producing returns of 25dbz is barely spitting any mist and drizzle. Not sure why as I was under the impression the air would get close to saturation here with this first wave.
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Perhaps it was localized to near Dahlonega; a few reported a [heavier] shower briefly and a spike of humidity.
I wish it were more widespread for y'all up there!
 
Final Call ❄️



North Carolina

• Raleigh, NC: 1–2” (Overperform)

• Charlotte, NC: Dusting – Trace

• Mooresville, NC: Dusting – Trace

• Monroe, NC: Trace – 1” (Overperform)



Virginia

• Richmond, VA: Trace – 1”



South Carolina

• Jonesville, SC: Flurries at most

• Columbia, SC: Trace (Overperform)

• Augusta, SC: Trace – 0.5” (Overperform)

• Clinton, SC: Flurries at most

• Clover, SC: Flurries at most



Georgia

• Macon, GA: 2–3”

• Thomson, GA: 1–2”



Florida

• Pensacola, FL: Dusting



Alabama

• Dothan, AL: 1–2” (Overperform)
 
DopplerWx said:
Ugh if we can change over under those heavy returns in clt we can really get a nice surprise. Can we please for once have things go our way.
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The NAM3km is holding steady that we do. It’s definitely gonna be a nowcasting thing for local mets and the NWS offices. I interested to see GSP’s late evening update her in a bit to see if they mention what the CAMs are showing
 
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