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Pattern January Joke

iGRXY said:
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Congrats gulf coast but this is a solid look this far out tbh
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I’ll enjoy this quite unlikely solution while it’s here because the odds of it changing drastically by the next run are almost as high as the odds of the GFS outperforming the Euro. And another Gulf coast snow?

850s are cold enough to the SE coast though 2m/925 mb temps are in the mid 30s.
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TheBatman said:
Don’t worry this isn’t going to verify. Just another look. If I have to guess probably more in like I-20 ish storm if we can make the pieces come to together.
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Yeah I’m pretty close to the 1-20 area just little south. I won’t say the gulf coast will see another one but chances are there, but most likey little north them. Good news is, we have the UK/Euro on our side now.
 
Parker said:
We will wait for the individual members to come out but there looks to be at least some support for the UKMET/EURO ops that were posted above 👀

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A small portion of the 50 (6) do have a Gulf/SE coast/FL solution for the furthest extent vs only a couple on each of the previous runs:
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GaWx said:
A small portion of the 50 (6) do have a Gulf/SE coast/FL solution for the furthest extent vs only a couple on each of the previous runs:
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Thanks for sharing these! 2,7,10,46 are some big dog looks there. You can clearly see a signal on some other maps as well. Obviously not huge but I’ll take the 15-20% look at this range. Just nice to see it show something similar to that UKMET layout. Never a bad think to have those two op models lockstep at this point. Hoping we can reel something in here as the temps will be much more in a lot of our favors for this threat vs the first threat. Back to bed now, just had to do my wake up check lol
 
rburrel2 said:
We might have something here guys. A tale as old as time. Precip that’s been advertised on means for a long time, vanishing in the mid-range, and then slowly coming back to life.
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Eric did mention a few days back to let the first system pass and then watch for something after the TPV dropped in.


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Looks like the trough went a little sharper on the 00z EPS vs the 12z.


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