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Misc 2018 Banter & Venting Thread

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SD said:
On mornings like this where I've missed out again I can't help but wonder if I'm still paying back for 2000

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Nope just to far south.


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I hate that all of the models have N GA below freezing in the mid levels, but SFC and boundary level temps suck so it's a cold light rain on the backside as the trailing ULL gets closer. Not often we get ULLs this far south and ofc, it's rain instead of snow.
 
Storm5 said:
This is awesome
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But the NAM handles the temperature profile better.
 
Everything ------- sucked here. Statistically I can hang winter up. For me to get a 6+ inch snow event places farther north in wake county would have to for a second time. How many times has that happened? So bitter

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I'm just glad the low ratios, mixing w/ IP (potentially more than NWP expected) didn't limit accumulations in Raleigh like some promised a mere 8 hours ago ;)
 
deltadog03 said:
What's just as bad is how the HRRR handled this as well .especially near RDU .
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In my experience, HRRR is good for determining meso-scale banding and precip. rates at a certain place and time, but not neccessarily for thermal profiles. In January 2017, it had me getting heavy snow, and instead got a heavy mix. It did decent during the January 2018 event last year here, but I mean, that was an all-snow event so ya know...
 
I'm astonished. I have never seen it snow this much before Christmas in my lifetime. 7.5 inches at my house. Wonder how much more snow we will get this winter. 1989-90 and 2010-11 both had snowy Decembers and a milder Jan/Feb, but those were La Niña winters, and this is an El Niño winter which is normally backloaded.
 
CyclonicFury said:
I'm astonished. I have never seen it snow this much before Christmas in my lifetime. 7.5 inches at my house. Wonder how much more snow we will get this winter. 1989-90 and 2010-11 both had snowy Decembers and a milder Jan/Feb, but those were La Niña winters, and this is an El Niño winter which is normally backloaded.
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I'm going with at least 30" for Raleigh this winter.
 
As always, some models did better than others and in different areas. The FV-3 and EURO did very well with early detection and very close to the actual track. HRRR did well with precip rates and of course NAM did well with the Thermal Profiles. Disappointed this time in the CMC, Icon, and RGEM
 
Webberweather53 said:
You’re adorable, classic response from someone who won the tool of the year award
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What's wrong, you don't like how your own medicine taste? Here's a life lesson for you - if you don't want it, don't dish it out. No one's forecast was perfect for this one - especially yours - so I'm not sure why you'd feel the need to be a pompous egomaniac when you should be humbled by your mediocre performance.
 
Wow Jim Cantore said there have been studies done that have shown some areas out west have had 40-50" of snow with only 1" of liquid precip. Those are some good ratios !
 
1300m said:
What's wrong, you don't like how your own medicine taste? Here's a life lesson for you - if you don't want it, don't dish it out. No one's forecast was perfect for this one - especially yours - so I'm not sure why you'd feel the need to be a pompous egomaniac when you should be humbled by your mediocre performance.
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I’m still waiting on my 3-6” in Charlotte, 1-3” in Fayetteville and less than a foot in the mountains but yea let’s just ignore all of those obvious fallacies in your forecast and cherry pick your backyard. Listen here kid, if you want to be treated like an immature brat so be it, I could care less about how many degrees you have behind your name. Let’s not forget youre supposed to be ignoring me anyway like everyone told you to do, but as usual that fell on deaf ears and you couldn’t help yourself. Smh.
 
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