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Wintry Winter Storm Dec 7-10

Discussion in 'General Weather' started by Brick Tamland, Dec 2, 2017.

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  1. accu35

    accu35 Member

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  2. accu35

    accu35 Member

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    Does anyone have the EPS members
     
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  3. RollTide18

    RollTide18 Member

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    Idk how worthless they are but here are some more short range models

    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]
     
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  4. accu35

    accu35 Member

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    Thats OZ
     
  5. accu35

    accu35 Member

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    [​IMG] gfs 6z
     
  6. EastAtlwx

    EastAtlwx Meteorology Student

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    Wow didn’t expect that
     
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  7. Winter Storm

    Winter Storm Member

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    URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
    National Weather Service Birmingham AL
    334 AM CST Thu Dec 7 2017

    ...ACCUMULATING LIGHT SNOWFALL EXPECTED BEGINNING EARLY FRIDAY
    MORNING...

    .Cold air moving in from the northwest will result in rain mixing
    with and changing to snow beginning late Thursday night and early
    Friday morning. Temperatures are expected to remain just above
    freezing while the snow falls, which will prevent significant
    accumulations, but some light accumulations will be possible
    primarily on grassy and elevated surfaces.

    ALZ019-021-023>041-043-071745-
    /O.NEW.KBMX.WW.Y.0001.171208T0900Z-171209T0000Z/
    Calhoun-Cleburne-Tuscaloosa-Jefferson-Shelby-St. Clair-Talladega-
    Clay-Randolph-Sumter-Greene-Hale-Perry-Bibb-Chilton-Coosa-
    Tallapoosa-Chambers-Marengo-Dallas-Autauga-Elmore-
    Including the cities of Anniston, Heflin, Tuscaloosa, Birmingham,
    Hoover, Columbiana, Pelham, Alabaster, Pell City, Moody,
    Talladega, Sylacauga, Ashland, Roanoke, Livingston, Eutaw,
    Greensboro, Moundville, Marion, Centreville, Clanton, Rockford,
    Alexander City, Dadeville, Valley, Lanett, Lafayette, Demopolis,
    Linden, Selma, Prattville, Wetumpka, and Tallassee
    334 AM CST Thu Dec 7 2017

    ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 6 PM CST
    FRIDAY...

    * WHAT...Snow expected. Total accumulations of a quarter to a half
    inch are expected, primarily on grassy and elevated surfaces,
    with locally higher accumulations up to 1 inch possible in the
    higher elevations of East Alabama.

    * WHERE...Portions of central, east central and west central
    Alabama.

    * WHEN...From 3 AM to 6 PM CST Friday.


    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

    A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
    cause primarily travel difficulties. Be prepared for snow covered
    roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

    $$
     
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  8. packfan98

    packfan98 Staff Member Moderator

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    Well, the 6z GFS is the wettest furthest NW out of all of it's previous runs I believe. Good morning all!
    [​IMG]
     
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  9. accu35

    accu35 Member

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    Can you post further west. Looks good
     
  10. DadOfJax

    DadOfJax Member

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    Now all we need is our last minute NW shift and Tusc. to Bham to Gadsden will be the sweet spot. Prepare for glory 20/59 corridor!
     
  11. vtrap90

    vtrap90 Supporter Member

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    [​IMG]
     
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  12. Psalm 148:8

    Psalm 148:8 Member

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    Ok... so reeeeeally hoping this decides to boom with confidence or bust... do y’all have any idea what it will be like to be in a classroom... with 6th graders... on a Friday.... in December...with fat snowflakes falling... and school didn’t get canceled because the event was so marginal....
    Prayers appreciated :p
     
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  13. packfan98

    packfan98 Staff Member Moderator

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    The 6z GEFS beefed up totals too as one would expect at this juncture. It's time to put less emphasis on the ensembles and use operationals and shorter range models.
    [​IMG]
     
  14. Parker

    Parker Member

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    I still believe these totals will be about 50 miles NW of where most models have it. Don’t know if it’s the wishcast part of me or just knowing how these typically have worked out in the past
     
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  15. accu35

    accu35 Member

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    Can you post members, im at work
     
  16. packfan98

    packfan98 Staff Member Moderator

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    Pivotal doesn't have them. Where else can I get them from for free?
     
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  17. metwannabe

    metwannabe Moderator Supporter

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    That certainly did look better but selfishly I'm hoping for an early Christmas miracle with the 12z runs I need about a 75-mile shift east.

    Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk
     
  18. accu35

    accu35 Member

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    You could be right, but the gfs/nam and other short range mods are eyeing further south.
     
  19. metwannabe

    metwannabe Moderator Supporter

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    College of DuPage has the individual members I can't post them right now either

    Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk
     
  20. Snowfan

    Snowfan Member

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    I see the GFS has finally fallen to the EURO.
     
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  21. Brick Tamland

    Brick Tamland Member

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    Great trends overnight for the Raleigh area as the models actually went a little SE. Even if it doesn't actually accumulate as much as the models showed, it still means a greater chance of seeing snow, and that's a win this early in winter.
     
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  22. ForsythSnow

    ForsythSnow Staff Member Moderator

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    Looks like that 0Z NAM was just a hiccup as usual. I thought something was weird. Looks like we are getting into the final stretch. Love the looks right now for around here.
     
  23. WeatherLC

    WeatherLC Staff Member Administrator

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    1-2 inches probably with accumulations 1/2 inch on grassy surfaces?
     
  24. Pycnic-Iso

    Pycnic-Iso Supporter Member

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    Im looking forward to my cold rain with a few token snowflakes.
     
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  25. ForsythSnow

    ForsythSnow Staff Member Moderator

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    That would be reasonable for our area I would think. If it is a hair cooler earlier on and rates are higher for longer, I would say max 2 inches. If things screw up entirely, token flakes.
     
  26. Flo

    Flo Member

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    Lmao at SC getting nothing while GA and NC do. Typical. Either way I don't expect veep in Columbia ever, much less in early December.
     
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  27. Oconeexman

    Oconeexman Member

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    I expect at least a slight dusting in NW SC. Then maybe an inch or 2 up toward Sunset to Travelers Rest.
     
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  28. WeatherWatch

    WeatherWatch Member

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  29. D-Ray

    D-Ray Member

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    i think its a good chance of an inch or so here...always seem to do ok in these kind of events
     
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  30. bouncycorn

    bouncycorn Meteorology Student

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    GEFS way up for ga [​IMG]
     

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