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Winter Mischief For Upper SE 3/12/18

Discussion in 'General Weather' started by whatalife, Mar 9, 2018.

  1. whatalife

    whatalife Staff Member Moderator Supporter

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    Post away on the possible snow in March!


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  2. ForsythSnow

    ForsythSnow Staff Member Moderator

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    It's cursed! LOL. The NAM can't be trusted, as it just flipped solutions again. I think I'll take the ICON all the way as it brings some flakes to many.
     
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  3. ForsythSnow

    ForsythSnow Staff Member Moderator

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    Forget the snowhole! I'm all in on the ICON. Also, you know the tag is tropical, right? :p[​IMG]
     
  4. whatalife

    whatalife Staff Member Moderator Supporter

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    Fixed


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  5. Brick Tamland

    Brick Tamland Member

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    I'd like to see some snow, even if it doesn't accumulate. Would be better than rain.
     
  6. Kylo

    Kylo Member

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    Todays ICON trends are impressive. I will be in Northern VA on Sunday evening so would like to see southern ULL go neutral and get captured. icon_z500_vort_us_fh69_trend.gif
     
    Last edited: Mar 9, 2018
  7. Shawn

    Shawn Staff Member Administrator Moderator Site Developer

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    Silly Icon.

    silly icon.png
     
  8. Shawn

    Shawn Staff Member Administrator Moderator Site Developer

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    The deeper snows this far South (CAE) on the Icon are fantasy. I do not see how the surface layer is going to be close to allowing snowfall that could potentially even accumulate on top of the tallest trees.

    Graupel could be in the cards with a robust ULL swinging through though.

    Back in November 1st of 2014, this area did experience quite an impressive snow squall that accumulated. Different season, different time.
     
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  9. whatalife

    whatalife Staff Member Moderator Supporter

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    You and I both know that ain’t happening...SMH!


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  10. Shawn

    Shawn Staff Member Administrator Moderator Site Developer

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    I said it wasn't happening in November of 2014 too. This is a different scenario & season though. I just can't get excited, but I was not excited then either. Stranger things have happened, but my gut says "meh."

    Looking at this seasons snow maps, the last run of the ICON finally gives areas that have been blanked snow. Of course that would happen just to keep me from complaining I saw no accumulation all season.
     
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  11. SoutheastRidge

    SoutheastRidge Member

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    The fact that there is even the slightest chance of snow in the south in Mid March with a September sun angle is borderline ridiculous.
     
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  12. Shawn

    Shawn Staff Member Administrator Moderator Site Developer

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    Looking at other modeling such as the NAM & Canadian, GFS, the ULL really isn't a factor like something the ICON shows around here.

    This far South, I watched the icon over do things all season for my back yard.
     
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  13. whatalife

    whatalife Staff Member Moderator Supporter

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    Yep. Totally agree.


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  14. Tarheel1

    Tarheel1 Member

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    How’s somebody from SC gonna start a snow thread! LOL
     
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  15. ForsythSnow

    ForsythSnow Staff Member Moderator

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    How many snows have there been in September compared to March? Probably way more. It's not that ridiculous if you take into consideration where actually has a chance at accumulation. I'm, just looking for maybe a flake at most if given the chance. If I don't get that, at least I hope DC gets no more snow or nothing.
     
  16. Tarheel1

    Tarheel1 Member

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    I really wished this event could have been 1 week earlier! We would have easily doubled actual snowfall! That Daylight savings time is a killer!:cool:
     
  17. whatalife

    whatalife Staff Member Moderator Supporter

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    It’s real simple. I clicked on the post new thread button and typed in the title I wanted. Then I clicked on the post button. LOL!


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  18. pcbjr

    pcbjr Supporter Member

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    Can I do that and make it snow in Gainesville ... LOL ... :eek:
     
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  19. SD

    SD Staff Member Administrator

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    It snowed on this very weekend last year

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  20. SD

    SD Staff Member Administrator

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    Not really, looking back there are numerous decent to large events that have occurred from this date to April 1

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  21. SimeonNC

    SimeonNC Supporter Member

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    Figures that when I'm not there, NC gets a snow chance lol. I'm crossing my fingers for all of you though :)

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  22. Xtreme Weather

    Xtreme Weather Member

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    Just sayin...

    861989CD-7E57-49E7-93E0-8440B192F2DE.jpeg

    Carry on...
     
  23. SoutheastRidge

    SoutheastRidge Member

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    Yeah I know. I just find it amazing that it is able to snow with such a high sun angle. I know sun angle isnt everything but its darn impressive. I mean just imagine a September sun angle and then imagine it snowing. It truly boggles my mind.
     
  24. Webberweather53

    Webberweather53 Meteorology Student

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  25. Webberweather53

    Webberweather53 Meteorology Student

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    The biggest contributor to this apparent discrepancy is the fact that oceans comprise approximately 3/4ths of earth's surface and because water has a high heat capacity/large thermal inertia it tends to lag solar input by several weeks or so. For example, while the atmosphere is receiving an amount of radiation equivalent to late September, the oceans may "think" it's really November and vis versa after the peak in radiation near the solstice.
     
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  26. pcbjr

    pcbjr Supporter Member

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    Same with September and October 'canes.
    Great post, Webb!
    Best!
    Phil
     
  27. Tarheel1

    Tarheel1 Member

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    DF5AA64D-B09E-4C68-A73C-4AE63A2773E9.png Love the 18z gfs ! Gives a Roxboro special, and basically screws DC with light snow and zilch for NE!
     
  28. ForsythSnow

    ForsythSnow Staff Member Moderator

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    I'm fine with that. Having a stronger system would likely bring a lot of cold air around on the back plus precipitation. I just hope the ICON is right, though it's not been the best this winter. With fluctuation and the models not being able to pin down the solution, anything is still possible.
     
  29. pcbjr

    pcbjr Supporter Member

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    Almost anything ... LOL ... :confused:
     
  30. metwannabe

    metwannabe Staff Member Moderator Supporter

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    Y'all are slack this evening, no mention of happy hour Lol[​IMG]

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