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Tropical Tropical Storm Michael

Discussion in 'Tropical Weather' started by ForsythSnow, Oct 4, 2018.

  1. ncskywarn

    ncskywarn Member

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  2. Kylo

    Kylo Member

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    Almost 90mph gusts per HRRR in northern Wake.
    HRRR 3-km North Carolina 10-m Wind Gust 10.png
     
  3. Brick Tamland

    Brick Tamland Member

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  4. Brick Tamland

    Brick Tamland Member

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    This does not look good at all. Really starting to worry.
     
  5. snowlover91

    snowlover91 Member

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    The 12km NAM is showing 925mb winds of 70kts in this band. It's not hard to believe the forecast of 60-80mph gusts being modeled with winds this strong so close to the surface and mixing down due to some dry air.
    925mb.JPG
     
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  6. NCSNOW

    NCSNOW Member

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    Center of circulation is coming across state line, right over union county looks like , east of Charlotte. Pinwheeling alot of heavy rain across western piedmont into foothills and mtns. Lot of lift going on and its wringing every drop possible out. Wind gust at 10:15 where in the 30s across state line
     
  7. metwannabe

    metwannabe Staff Member Moderator Supporter

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    Boy if that verifies or anything close going to make that 34 mph gust in my point and click forecast look silly....
     
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  8. metwannabe

    metwannabe Staff Member Moderator Supporter

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    Saw this on Twitter, flooding in Boone
    [​IMG]

    Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk
     
  9. Jimmy Hypocracy

    Jimmy Hypocracy Member

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    Aerial footage of Mexico beach is bad. All bad. Looks like A giant EF3 moved through
     
  10. NCSNOW

    NCSNOW Member

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    They are on Fall break today and tommorow thankfully. Just hope the leaves dont get stripped. They are late and will turn quick this upcoming week now that fall weather will finally arrive. Bet the Boone mall is a swiming pool,always is during FF.
     
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  11. snowlover91

    snowlover91 Member

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    18-19z today things should be rocking in Charlotte if HRRR is correct.
    [​IMG]
     
  12. metwannabe

    metwannabe Staff Member Moderator Supporter

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    NHC said in their discussion that there have been numerous reports of 40-50kt gust in central and eastern SC, not doubting them at all but anybody on here feel those or had any issues?
     
  13. metwannabe

    metwannabe Staff Member Moderator Supporter

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  14. snowlover91

    snowlover91 Member

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    That sounds about right. I checked through a lot of SC stations and most recorded peak gusts 45-55mph range. Here's a link to check the stations, just change it to SC and hit refresh map, then click on the station you want and it shows the peak gust.
    https://mesowest.utah.edu/cgi-bin/droman/mesomap.cgi?state=NC&rawsflag=3
     
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  15. snowlover91

    snowlover91 Member

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    Quite a few stations in southern NC gusting near or just above TS force. Shelby NC now gusting to 37mph and is a key one to watch along with areas near Charlotte.
     
  16. MichaelAndrews

    MichaelAndrews Member

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    Yes it was surprisingly strong down here for a bit, there is still a few gusts here and there lingering but the worst is over
     
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  17. metwannabe

    metwannabe Staff Member Moderator Supporter

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    Thanks man! I have used this site before but had forgotten about it
     
  18. snowlover91

    snowlover91 Member

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    Lumberton, NC gusting to 46mph
    [​IMG]
     
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  19. Hurricanetrckr26

    Hurricanetrckr26 Member

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    We definitely had some gusts of at least 50 early this morning
     
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  20. snowlover91

    snowlover91 Member

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    Statesville, NC gusting near TS force now. Everything is lining up quite well with the 3km and HRRR so far. Next few hours are key. Saw a report of 52mph gust in Zirconia, NC as well just south of the Hendersonville area.
     
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  21. Fountainguy97

    Fountainguy97 Member

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    Interesting image out of TCLT.

    This could be our intense wind band winding up. Notice the sharp cutoff and then light green/blue? That's 50MPH winds only 800-1,200 feet up
    wind.PNG
     
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  22. NCSNOW

    NCSNOW Member

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    Should see a pressure drop of a few mb, signifying its transitioning to EX tropical. Right?

    I can see the trees moving back n forth now pretty good last half hour up by the airport. But nothing out of ordinary. And its been pouring the rain. Thinking center circulation has to get off to our east then the wind event advertised on models will come sweeping in.
     
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  23. Webberweather53

    Webberweather53 Meteorologist

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  24. Storm5

    Storm5 Staff Member Administrator Supporter

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    So how is everyone’s power holding up I haven’t seen any real massive outages in Georgia or SC


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  25. metwannabe

    metwannabe Staff Member Moderator Supporter

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    Guess that depends on what we consider massive, according to the outage maps and reports nearly 250,000 without power across those two states.
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  26. NCSNOW

    NCSNOW Member

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    I was just wondering if Mack got enough wind to fly his kite.
     
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  27. Henry2326

    Henry2326 Member

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    All good in Charleston. Wind and rain between 3am and 5am were more serious than anything else today.
     
  28. Alex

    Alex Member

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    Having problems trying to load the gif from TT here on mobile, but it's looking like that trailing band is already intensifying (right word?). This is gonna get ugly, I've already seen gusts over 20mph here, and the sustained has definitely picked up as well.

    Sent from my Pixel 2 XL using Tapatalk
     
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  29. NCSNOW

    NCSNOW Member

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    [​IMG]
     
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  30. Yellow Snow

    Yellow Snow Member

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    [​IMG]
     
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