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Tropical Tropical Storm Gordon

Discussion in 'Tropical Weather' started by Snowfan, Sep 2, 2018.

  1. Snowfan

    Snowfan Member

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    Was just designated this morning.
     
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  2. Brent

    Brent Member

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    Recon as early as tomorrow morning

     
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  3. Brent

    Brent Member

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    1. Thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave located
    between north-central Cuba and the central Bahamas is gradually
    becoming better organized, and upper-level winds are also becoming
    more favorable. A tropical depression is likely to form during the
    next day or so while the system moves west-northwestward across the
    northwestern Bahamas, southern Florida, and the Florida Keys. The
    system is forecast to emerge over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico by
    early Tuesday and move toward the north-central Gulf Coast Tuesday
    night and Wednesday. This system will produce locally heavy rains
    and gusty winds across the central and northwestern Bahamas,
    southern Florida, and the Florida Keys during the next day or two. A
    tropical storm watch could be issued for portions of the northern
    Gulf Coast tonight. Interests in these areas should monitor the
    progress of this system.
    For more information, see products from
    your local weather forecast office and High Seas Forecasts issued by
    the National Weather Service. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance
    aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system tomorrow.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
     
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  4. ForsythSnow

    ForsythSnow Moderator

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    Looks like a TD already to me. Probably going to strengthen quite well into a strong TS in the Gulf before making landfall in LA.
     
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  5. Storm5

    Storm5 Staff Member Administrator Supporter

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    Finally something interesting !
     
  6. Storm5

    Storm5 Staff Member Administrator Supporter

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    Euro is into Louisiana them almost right over Brent . CMC and gfs are further east . The cmc seems like the best track with the gfs and euro on either sides. With the ridging over the mid Atlantic the eastern most track ( gfs ) seems very unlikely
     
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  7. Brent

    Brent Member

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    May have a PTC at 5pm et
     
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  8. Snowfan

    Snowfan Member

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  9. Brent

    Brent Member

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    60 mph peak but mention could be a little stronger at landfall
     
  10. Storm5

    Storm5 Staff Member Administrator Supporter

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    Gordon is on the way . NHC appears to be using the euro with the track
     
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  11. deltadog03

    deltadog03 Meteorologist Member

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    Well that escalated quickly. Lol
     
  12. Snowfan

    Snowfan Member

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  13. DarkKnight

    DarkKnight I only have one rule!!! Staff Member Moderator Supporter

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    Seems like it always does with these gulf systems. Lol
     
  14. DarkKnight

    DarkKnight I only have one rule!!! Staff Member Moderator Supporter

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    Wish it would curve some and give us some rain here in Alabama and Tennessee. Been dry here for past few weeks pretty bad. Also notice we are back on low side of drought monitor.
     
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  15. Tarheel1

    Tarheel1 Member

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    Yeah, wish it would drift over SC after landfall, but with 4-5 possible storm parading across the Atlantic, according to the models, maybe I can score some rain out of one of them!
    We need to watch for POSSIBLE RI , as it hits the very warm waters and better environment, as it looks to be moving towards LA
     
  16. SD

    SD Staff Member Administrator

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    Fyi-I'll be merging the tropics and regular discussion boards tomorrow morning.

    Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk
     
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  17. DarkKnight

    DarkKnight I only have one rule!!! Staff Member Moderator Supporter

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    Second that motion!!
     
  18. Brent

    Brent Member

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    looks like we're getting close to having a center... recon takes off in about 5 hours
     
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  19. accu35

    accu35 Member

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    I think they declare it TD at 5. Maybe
     
  20. Webberweather53

    Webberweather53 Meteorologist

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    We have Tropical Storm Gordon.
    Tropical Storm Gordon Tropical Cyclone Update
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018
    805 AM EDT Mon Sep 03 2018

    ...TROPICAL STORM GORDON FORMS NEAR THE UPPER FLORIDA KEYS...
    ...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA AND
    THE KEYS...

    Surface observations from the Florida Keys and radar data indicate
    that Potential Tropical Cyclone Seven has become Tropical Storm
    Gordon, with maximum sustained winds of around 45 mph (75 km/h). A
    Tropical Storm Warning will be issued shortly for portions of the
    Florida Keys and the southern Florida peninsula in a forthcoming
    special advisory to be issued by 900 AM EDT (1300 UTC).

    SUMMARY OF 805 AM EDT...1205 UTC...INFORMATION
    ---------------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...25.1N 80.6W
    ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM W OF KEY LARGO FLORIDA
    ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM E OF CAPE SABLE FLORIDA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.79 INCHES
     
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  21. Webberweather53

    Webberweather53 Meteorologist

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  22. ForsythSnow

    ForsythSnow Moderator

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    So Gordon is our second landfalling system of the year, with Florida being its first landfall. Sort of hard to determine if it was but its center is over land so therefore I am counting it as a landfall.
     
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  23. accu35

    accu35 Member

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    [​IMG] Any thoughts?
     
  24. Storm5

    Storm5 Staff Member Administrator Supporter

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    NHC Shifted the track a little east this morning as the euro and cmc were east of previous runs . The gfs remains the far eastern outlier with landfall along the Mississippi coast
     
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  25. accu35

    accu35 Member

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  26. ForsythSnow

    ForsythSnow Moderator

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    The HWRF always does this with storms. If what Webber mentioned about the friction from land mass being true and the system is a fast mover, this isn't likely. If it was a bit slower, yes, it could be likely.
     
  27. accu35

    accu35 Member

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    Just a question? Since this is our big story as of now, can we go live
     
  28. accu35

    accu35 Member

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    Your right, also with just 16 mph movement and a hot tub awaiting, I can see it reach strong TS
    Or cat 1 at the most. Who knows, it's gonna be a big rain maker
     
  29. Snowfan

    Snowfan Member

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  30. metwannabe

    metwannabe Staff Member Moderator Supporter

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    Agreed, the HWRF is notorious for doing this....
     

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