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Severe Threat April 3rd/4th

Discussion in 'General Weather' started by Storm5, Apr 1, 2018.

  1. Storm5

    Storm5 Staff Member Administrator Supporter

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    Looks like the main threat will be squall line racing through. The 12z Euro is a little more aggressive with the overall parameters though
     
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  2. stormcentral

    stormcentral Storm Central Wx Member

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    00Z NAM concerning...
     
  3. Shawn

    Shawn Staff Member Administrator Moderator Site Developer

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    nam3km_ref_frzn_seus_54.png
     
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  4. stormcentral

    stormcentral Storm Central Wx Member

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    Conditions look favorable for severe storms in a squall line along the front with damaging winds and large hail. But there are concern for increasing TOR threat
     
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  5. Storm5

    Storm5 Staff Member Administrator Supporter

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    New day 2 outlook[​IMG]

    Sent from my SM-J327VPP using Tapatalk
     
  6. Shawn

    Shawn Staff Member Administrator Moderator Site Developer

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    Day 3 for those in FL/GA/Carolinas: (ie, squall line)

    day3prob_0730.gif
     
  7. Webberweather53

    Webberweather53 Meteorologist

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    WRF ARWs at first glance look generally a bit better than the NAM as the precip is entering NC, if the front slows up even a little more this could put more of central NC at play
     
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  8. Phillip l

    Phillip l Member

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    Newest SPC update has placed a moderate risk area over western Tennessee and northern Mississippi also a hatched area for tornado, wind, and hail. Looking to be a very serious system at this point.
     
  9. Webberweather53

    Webberweather53 Meteorologist

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    Here comes a tornado watch.
    Screen Shot 2018-04-03 at 12.47.50 PM.png
     
  10. SoutheastRidge

    SoutheastRidge Member

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    Isnt today the anniversary of a major tornado outbreak in the 70s ? This will be much weaker im assuming ?
     
  11. Brent

    Brent Member

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    the infamous Super Outbreak yes
     
  12. Bama Ravens

    Bama Ravens Member

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    Yes, today is not a "Super Outbreak" level setup.
     
  13. NWTENN

    NWTENN Member

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    12 replies on an April MDT risk?
     
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  14. crecre9

    crecre9 Supporter Member

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    Yes this is an interesting change indeed. Looks like a significant hail risk, according to the HUN NWS.

    [​IMG]
     
  15. Webberweather53

    Webberweather53 Meteorologist

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    Supercells are going up in the central MS Valley, we’ll have to see how quickly they grow upscale, the environment isn’t the best for most of the storms remaining discretes but I’ve seen worse
     

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