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Severe Severe Threat 4-13/14

I saw that yesterday and was confused myself...seems weird as the Huntsville NWS showed the same as the SPC map... but today at least BMX pretty much matches what the SPC has....weird. Their explanation on facebook was they essentially saw things differently and created their own outlook.
Let's hope that isn't the start of a trend. They need to show the SPC outlooks, then comment in their AFD if they disagree or something else might happen.
 
and

they finally went along with the SPC, there was no reason to be confusing people before
image4.png
Look,
Y'all be careful and stay safe over there ... :eek: ... Want you posting next week ... ;)
Best!
Phil
 
NAMs look impressive for a qlcs with embedded tornadoes here before things stabilize overnight. If anything can fire before the main line it has decent potential to be supercellular

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Nams sped up the timing in NC. Pretty attention grabbing sounding from the 3k. Still quite a few issues to get through though. How will weak convection developing during the afternoon limit instability if at all. Will tomorrow's convention spit out an out flow boundary and accelerate eastward with the prefrontal trough.
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Tornado Watch coming out for Central AL.
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 48
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1030 AM CDT Sat Apr 14 2018

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of
southwest through central Alabama
western Florida Panhandle
southeast Mississippi
Coastal Waters

* Effective this Saturday morning and evening from 1030 AM until
700 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible

SUMMARY...Squall line will continue to pose a risk for locally
strong to damaging wind gusts and a few tornadoes as it moves
through the Gulf Coast states this afternoon.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
east and west of a line from 20 miles north of Birmingham AL to 40
miles south southwest of Mobile AL. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 47...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 25030.
 
The line doesn’t seem to be as strong as it moves over my back yard due to morning timing tomorrow. TWC is forecasting 1-2” of rain tomorrow, I don’t see that happening, but hopefull!
 
Couple decent areas of rotation along the line to the west and northwest of Tuscaloosa

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The "Like" is not for the situation but for the observation ... Stay safe!
Best!
Phil
Thanks Phil. Yeah, there are reports of tree damage and many without power in Mississippi . Scary situation, I told my kids to be ready for there tornado drill if necessary.
 
Anyone believe the line is moving a little faster then prog? A fastee arrival will be more impactful in Western GA
 
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