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Pattern Oppressive Ornery Obstinate Opposite October

Discussion in 'General Weather' started by SD, Sep 25, 2017.

  1. whamby

    whamby

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    "2017-10-10 88 75 81.5 18.1"

    75 is probably an all time record low maximum for the Month of October in CHA going back to 1879. Not sure where to find record low maximums though. NOWDATA doesn't have this variable to search for....
     
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  2. Webberweather53

    Webberweather53 Meteorology Student

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    I recently constructed an ensemble based, quality controlled, Oceanic Nino Index going back to 1865... The amplitude of many of the events esp before 1950 may be dampened due to large uncertainties between various SST reconstructions... 1912-13 was most likely a cold ENSO neutral winter
    Screen Shot 2017-10-12 at 7.46.46 AM.png
    Screen Shot 2017-10-12 at 7.47.25 AM.png
    Screen Shot 2017-10-12 at 7.48.10 AM.png
    Screen Shot 2017-10-12 at 7.48.28 AM.png
    Screen Shot 2017-10-12 at 7.49.00 AM.png
    Screen Shot 2017-10-12 at 7.49.15 AM.png
    Screen Shot 2017-10-12 at 7.49.31 AM.png
    Screen Shot 2017-10-12 at 7.49.52 AM.png
    Screen Shot 2017-10-12 at 7.50.03 AM.png
    Screen Shot 2017-10-12 at 7.50.18 AM.png
     
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  3. Webberweather53

    Webberweather53 Meteorology Student

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    Oh yes it is the highest monthly record low max by a lot (at least thus far, that could change later in the month)...
    Screen Shot 2017-10-12 at 7.57.49 AM.png

    If you select these options you should see record low daily maximum temperatures for each month & year.
    Screen Shot 2017-10-12 at 7.58.49 AM.png
     
  4. GeorgiaGirl

    GeorgiaGirl

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    I like the GFS after Monday next week lately. The really long range may likely change but there's hope for finally some normal weather at the very least.
     
  5. MRStorm

    MRStorm Supporter

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    Really liking what I am seeing for the B'ham metro next week. Upper 60s to mid 70s during the days and low 50s maybe upper 40s at night. Our Company Golf Tourney is next Thursday and the current forecast show 53 early, high 72, and mostly sunny. I am all in.

    Also liking what Webb is saying about the not so distant future with the pattern change. Normal to slightly below normal will seen very cold compared to recent Nov-Mar periods. Lock it in.
     
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  6. Snowflowxxl

    Snowflowxxl

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    Another day with expected recorded temps! 88! Awesome!!
     
  7. Storm5

    Storm5 Staff Member Administrator

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    Hit them straight !
     
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  8. deltadog03

    deltadog03 Meteorologist

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    Yay for another record yesterday
     
  9. SD

    SD Staff Member Administrator

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    D1 drought!

    Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk
     
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  10. Storm5

    Storm5 Staff Member Administrator

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    Nothing says fall like an eastern ridge .....
     
  11. Tarheel1

    Tarheel1

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    Congrats!
    With the pattern setting up after 4-5 days next week of cool air, back to the furnace, and 0 rain basically the next 10-15 days, only looks to get worse! The pattern shown with the big ridge east/ trough west the end of next week, will likely repeat all winter! :(. Maybe we can squeeze a sleet storm out this winter, in between 10-15 day stretches of torch!
     
  12. Tarheel1

    Tarheel1

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    Can't wait, tired of all this cold weather! :)
     
  13. SD

    SD Staff Member Administrator

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    Thanks we really worked hard to get here

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  14. BHS1975

    BHS1975 Supporter

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    Garbage


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  15. Snowfan

    Snowfan

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    Not telling
    When will it end?:(
     
  16. Usmeagle2005

    Usmeagle2005

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    Not going to make last years mistake and say glad we are getting to ridge overwith now, thinking it had to end sooner or later (was a idot and thought winter would be cold cause that ridge can’t hold that long).... one year later... ridge.
     
  17. Typo

    Typo Supporter

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    120+ hours with temperatures 75 or above in Columbia. This AugTober has sucked.
     
  18. SD

    SD Staff Member Administrator

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    Call me crazy but I like the idea of below normal after the 25th

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  19. pcbjr

    pcbjr Supporter

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    OK - Crazy ... however I'll defer to a higher knowledge base ... though normal is a distinct possibility ... but then, who am I ... :eek::confused:o_O
     
  20. Tarheel1

    Tarheel1

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    Crazy! I think the heat has gotten to you!
     
  21. GeorgiaGirl

    GeorgiaGirl

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    To be honest I think Irma started it (after a couple of days of it being very comfortable, it got very humid) but tonight will at least be the last day of is this early August or July with the low temps? It would have been in the high 90s if it was a mere six-eight weeks earlier.

    It seems like at the very least after this week it will at least not be getting very hot after the coming cool spell and above average is not necessarily 90s anymore.
     
  22. Brent

    Brent

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    have you been drinking? :eek:
     
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  23. whatalife

    whatalife Moderator Supporter

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    Best question of the day!


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  24. SoutheastRidge

    SoutheastRidge

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    I totally blame Irma. Before irma, it was nice and cool. 40s in early September !
     
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  25. Brent

    Brent

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    the same was true here honestly... the summer wasn't that bad(tons of rain), then Harvey happened and everyone thought summer was over. August was actually the first below normal month for temperatures in over a year...

    But it came back with a vengeance after Irma(didn't rain for a month after such a wet summer) until the front this week
     
    Last edited: Oct 13, 2017 at 1:00 AM
  26. accu35

    accu35

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    Well regardless of what warmth we had, the pattern is looking good end of month. ATM.
     
  27. ForsythSnow

    ForsythSnow Staff Member Moderator

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    All aboard the CMC if you want low 40s soon and a freeze in the mountains! [​IMG]
     
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  28. Tarheel1

    Tarheel1

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    Drizzle! = Winning
     
  29. Snowfan

    Snowfan

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    Not telling
    That actually isn't too far away.
     
  30. pcbjr

    pcbjr Supporter

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    Only one model run, and by no means would it warrant a trip to the bank, but at least AN is scoured away on the super ensemble ... :D

    [​IMG]

    This comes with some transient teleconnection support ...

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]

    Admittedly, there is a lot more than this going on, so take it with the necessary grain of salt, and ...
    We'll see ... :rolleyes:
     
    Last edited: Oct 13, 2017 at 5:36 PM
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