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October Oscitance

Discussion in 'General Weather' started by cyclogent, Sep 24, 2018.

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  1. cyclogent

    cyclogent Member

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    a new month to post about our long awaited, much deserved, and often dreamed about, wonderful glorious pattern change.
     
  2. Tarheel1

    Tarheel1 Member

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    Looking forward to the 90s in October!
     
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  3. cd2play

    cd2play Member

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    I just hope a month from now we're not still waiting
     
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  4. cd2play

    cd2play Member

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    When do we drop to 70s for highs?
     
  5. NCSNOW

    NCSNOW Member

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    Lucked up again and saved by the wedge for the 2cnd day in a row. Hate it for you fellows on the other side of the front, hang in there.
     
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  6. Brent

    Brent Member

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    today was the first day we hit 80 in 4 days... its been glorious
     
  7. Tarheel1

    Tarheel1 Member

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    October 15th or later it looks like this year!
     
  8. ATLwxfan

    ATLwxfan Member

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    SER wins big on this run.


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
     
  9. DarkKnight

    DarkKnight I only have one rule!!! Staff Member Moderator Supporter

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    I hate to say it folks. We probably won’t get much of a fall this year. Once the pattern flips I figure we will go cold and wet in first part of November and lasting in December.

    I hope it doesn’t happpen this way.
     
  10. Webberweather53

    Webberweather53 Meteorologist

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    The ECMWF is sniffing out a TC outbreak in the Pacific next week. The wave packet from Trami in the WP could help take the edge of the SE ridge during the 2nd week of October but there are a ton of ways to either screw that up &/or amplify a trough east of the Rockies even more w/ TCs trying to recurve & deposit heat & momentum into the Pacific Jet in every sector of the Pacific. Time to breakout the dartboard.

    ecmwf_z500_mslp_npac_9.png
     
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  11. Kylo

    Kylo Member

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    Like the blocking, even with the atlantic ridging.

    14-km EPS Global Northern Hemisphere 5-day Avg 500Z Anom 360 (4).png
     
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  12. SoutheastRidge

    SoutheastRidge Member

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    You are in Nashville so your forecast high tomorrow is 75 and 76 on Thursday and lows in the upper 50s !
     
  13. SoutheastRidge

    SoutheastRidge Member

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    Well at least you're not in Minnesota. Fall is over there and they are already in winter. Unless 50's for highs is considered fall there.
     
  14. accu35

    accu35 Member

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    SICK OF THIS HEAT
     
  15. RollTide18

    RollTide18 Member

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    Me too, but looking back, I’ve dealt with warm Octobers before, maybe not with the consistency like this but I’ll live. I don’t think the whole month of October will be like this though.
     
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  16. Kylo

    Kylo Member

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    Let’s just hope we aren’t saying this in Jan-Feb.
     
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  17. Jimmy Hypocracy

    Jimmy Hypocracy Member

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    I’ve got 73 on the car thermometer under full cloud cover for the 2nd day in a row. It’s actually pretty chilly. AC is off
     
  18. Storm5

    Storm5 Staff Member Administrator Supporter

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    At least by then “ heat “ won’t be 90s

    I can handle 60s and 70s in jan - feb while we watch Boston get crushed with feet of snow


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
     
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  19. metwannabe

    metwannabe Staff Member Moderator Supporter

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    Who is this?
     
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  20. ForsythSnow

    ForsythSnow Moderator

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    Excuse me what? :confused: I hope you are referring to South Florida's temps, because no I can't take a hot Jan - Feb here. I don't think we will given we are staying hot this long.
     
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  21. GeorgiaGirl

    GeorgiaGirl Member

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    I only reached 85 yesterday because of extended cloud cover (which I think lasted all day). Today seems like it's going to try to repeat yesterday. Unfortunate that it's come to this though to keep from having "July, only in fall".

    I hope that we don't have Octly, the sequel to Juber for half of October.
     
  22. whatalife

    whatalife Staff Member Moderator Supporter

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    Really!?! That sounds even more miserable than a 100° day in August.


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
     
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  23. metwannabe

    metwannabe Staff Member Moderator Supporter

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    Looking for the light at the end of the tunnel? I suggest you not look at the 12z GFS....
     
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  24. NCSNOW

    NCSNOW Member

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    The wedge has been nice past few days and looks to really keep summer out of here/ autumn like this weekend thankfully. But like everyone else I'm ready for highs in the 60s lows around 40 with low dps and deep blue skies.
     
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  25. ForsythSnow

    ForsythSnow Moderator

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    Or the CMC either. Nothing but darkness in this tunnel for these runs. The SER just never goes away.
     
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  26. Jimmy Hypocracy

    Jimmy Hypocracy Member

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    Those 2m anomolies are ugly but at least we will have highs in the 70’s by the end of the run. Grief
     
  27. DarkKnight

    DarkKnight I only have one rule!!! Staff Member Moderator Supporter

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    I take it over the 34 degrees and cold rain with the high light bill!! Lol. I don’t mind payin the high light bill as long as we get some type of winter event.
     
  28. RollTide18

    RollTide18 Member

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    What can break this ridge?
     
  29. Jimmy Hypocracy

    Jimmy Hypocracy Member

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    The Paris Agreement. No, in all seriousness that’s a great question
     
  30. J.C.

    J.C. Member

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    I often wonder how models handle situations like these because I would assume they are built with algorithms from things that have happened in the past. We are in uncharted waters it seems.
     

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