Pattern May Flowers

[pcbjr]

NHC hasn’t talked about it yet.

Precisely ...

... just one of many levels ...

 

[ForsythSnow]

NHC hasn’t talked about it yet.

NHC doesn't start issuing areas of interest until May 15th, so that's why. Only unless it becomes a defined system would they consider it. I think Joe is just up to his usual hype.

 

[pcbjr]

NHC doesn't start issuing areas of interest until May 15th, so that's why. Only unless it becomes a defined system would they consider it. I think Joe is just up to his usual hype.

But they do a discussion and no mention there today, except showers in S FL.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATWDAT+shtml/031200_MIATWDAT.shtml?

 

[Snowfan]

Joe Bastardi tends to overreact.

 

[pcbjr]

Joe Bastardi tends to overreact.

Again ... precisely ...

 

[vtrap90]

The Atlantic has had 3 consecutive years in which there was a named storm in before May 15th. The chances of that happening were 0.3%, based on the past ~50 year average. This information was from a weather underground article I read yesterday regarding this system. With Joe Bastardi hyping this up, the streak will end.

 

[Brent]

I wouldn't totally rule out something forming but I doubt it'd be much. Most likely just typical Joe B hype

 

[Arcc]

On so many levels ... Oh for goodness sakes ...

He has a point about the anomalies. The problem here is they don't matter. It's like saying the arctic is warm when it's two degrees above average

 

[pcbjr]

^ I surrender ... take my guns but please leave me a plowing mule ...

 

[Nomanslandva]

Got home from picking up one of my kids from school today and was 80 in the house. OK, AC is officially on now!!!

 

[stormcentral]

00Z GFS has some sort of a low

 

[setxwx]

hope this theme repeats through summer.. sorry central plains and SW:

 

[Tarheel1]

I need rain! Upper 80s last 2 days and next 2 days atleast! And the Sat/Sun rain has vanished! That’s how it all begins....

 

[NorthBamaWeather]

I wonder what downstream pattern effects, the volcano will produce across the U.S.? Any thoughts

 

[ForsythSnow]

I wonder what downstream pattern effects, the volcano will produce across the U.S.? Any thoughts

Absolutely no effects outside of Hawaii. The eruption type was one that produces little ash into the atmosphere compared to others. It takes a different kind to create impacts.

 

[pcbjr]

0% works on this end ...

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1045 AM EDT Fri May 4 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A large area of showers and thunderstorms near the Bahamas is
associated with an upper-level low pressure system and a surface
trough. The system is forecast to move westward over the Florida
peninsula on Saturday with no significant development. Locally
heavy rains and gusty winds are possible over portions of the
Bahamas and southern Florida through this weekend. Please monitor
products from your local weather office for more details. No
additional Special Outlooks on this system will be issued unless
conditions warrant.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

Forecaster Pasch/Blake




Now, back to my mule and plowing the back 40 ...

 

[GaWx]

^ @pcbjr Hopefully, the entire season will be dominated by minor threats like this.

 

[cd2play]

Accuweather.com's Summer forecast says those of us in Tennessee can forget the pool this summer. Nothing but storms

 

[MBell]

Accuweather.com's Summer forecast says those of us in Tennessee can forget the pool this summer. Nothing but storms

Lol. Won't stop me from using the pool...besides storms are common every summer.

 

[stormcentral]

Accuweather.com's Summer forecast says those of us in Tennessee can forget the pool this summer. Nothing but storms

Yeah saw that, & humidity. Well see