Discussion in 'General Weather' started by metwannabe, Apr 25, 2018.
Let'er rip tater chip..... let's get summer started.
Well, let's see where this takes us ...
Mayhem or Mayflowers?
It would be Mayhem if the pattern goes back and forth like it's been doing the last few weeks.
Hopefully, it continues. It is still spring and the back and forth makes the wx much more interesting. We'll probably have nearly 3 months of monotonous and uncomfy heat/humidity day after day June-August.
All I was/am trying to point out in the initial post is ... who knows ... whoda thunk April after February?
Could be ... no ... will be ... interesting ...
... and only 3 months ... what a blessing that would be ...
In the meantime ... 'night all ... gotta get up at 5:00 and go walk in this nice cool N FL air ...
any 'vegas' odds on if the ICON depicts snow activity in the mountains of Tn/NC in May? I'm talking 4500' or higher here... I say 16:1.
I'm a severe weather novice.. what are some of the things to look for on tropical tidbits maps that might indicate potential severe or tornadic systems?
I mean, obviously this is something to look for I guess for southern plains/midwest storms... but what else?
Just to follow up ...
Brent may see some cool; looks like must of us should see a pleasant start to Mayflowers ...
Anyone got the eps anomalies from day 10-15? I'm looking to put our bermuda grass next weekend but need highs at least in the 75-80 range to get good germination.
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Looks like the northeast is gonna be scorchin ! Maybe 80s ?
I really thought after this heat dome a weekend from now , it’s supposed to get back into the 70s/50s regime again!
It will ...
We have hail mixing in with the downpour in Emerson. Impressive!
Look for Sbcape values over 1000, dew points over 60, bulk shear over 40kts, winds at at 850mb over 40knts. You of course want to look for troughs and vort maxes at 500mb. Look for LIs over -6.
That is just a few very basic things to get you started.
Sounds like I should be on the lookout for some when they pivot over my area soon.
Maybe we don't have a dug in SER to deal with as a mid-term term phenomena?
Would be a nice winter look! That +PNA ridge! Transient SE ridges are the best!
Well, our SoutheastRidge poster is transient since he's in Indiana only temporarily. So, I guess that makes him the best!
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I do not see us getting really hot this year unless something changes. The big summer heat ridges should stay west of here, at least for a little while.
There is what i'm basing this on. The ridge should be in the 4 corners area to Texas most of the summer unless we really start to dry out.
That's usually a good indicator of where the extreme heat will be. Also, if the nino gets going that could also help us.
Good catch, y'all ...
Brief warm up and then indications are back to BN for most, and N for Larry and your Curmudgeon and a few others; not bad ...
and (FWIW given the source) ...
Are you ok!? No 130s this year!?
Yep and soil moisture. They have almost 0 soil moisture in TX and OK and much of the four corners and that should let the heat ridge continuously self sustain. The SE is pretty moist over all, so that should temper widespread, extreme heat, IMO
DT with some good stuff on hurricane season. Good point as to why , IMO , Atlantic season will be below normal!
It's worth a big bended knee, for sure ...
GFS seems pretty consistent with swinging in some upper 30s for my area Monday Morning. I wouldn't be shocked. Looks like after that though, it begins to warm up somewhat.