Talk about a drought buster!
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Tropical Major Hurricane Humberto
- Thread starter GeorgiaGirl
- Start date
Talk about a drought buster!
Wow how did Ukmet do with Dorian track?
12Z Euro ens: it also has trended EAST since 0Z run. Many members go up FL peninsula. Some in Gulf but also a couple E of FL, too. Many then go into GA, AL, or SC. I saw at least one stay offshore in the Atlantic.
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Not saying it's going to happen, but these can get sneaky strong quickly if proper environment.
I thought it did good, it was very consistent run to run.
Wow that would be a lot of rain for SC if it verifies.
3K NAM friday evening IR
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Convection of it is looking pretty healthy right now and you can see a broad rotation. Could possibly see a TD maybe as soon as tomorrow if convection keeps firing?
It also seems to be pushing NE.
It also seems to be pushing NE.
Further to the above: whereas the 0Z Euro members were almost all moving WNW and at or south of Lake Okeechobee to the S tip, the 12Z run has most members moving between Lake O on the south and Gainesville on the north, with many going near Orlando. Also, these 12Z members are moving mainly NW rather than the WNW of the 0Z. So, quite a north shift.
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ForsythSnow
Moderator
Middle path please lol. If it goes to the right I'm not going to be very happy. I'll call the UK biases and take the Euro. We need rain here ASAP. Some trees are wilting.
Correcting East. Any chance the Ukmet is right?
It's tough to beat the EPS cone and the UK is on the far eastern side of the cone. Would expect the UK to shift some west, but that's a guess really.
pcbjr
Member
STOP IT ...
ForsythSnow
Moderator
At least this would be a low end TS at best, so it's not like we are talking a full fledged hurricane. We need the rain up here badly, and this is the only thing that could give us a ton of needed rain.
pcbjr
Member
FS,
You know I'm always pulling for you to get the Lake filled!
Just don't pull for stuff to form and get fierce ... so here's hoping good for the both of us!
Best!
Phil
Henry2326
Member
Yup....stronger though.....not liking how this looks.
Wonder if Icon gonna be be the first to intensify it....
It’s getting some outflow on its western side