Hey finally something in the MDR! A tropical wave located about 850 miles east-southeast of the Windward Islands is producing a large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms. Slow development of this disturbance is possible over the next few days while the system moves west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. By early next week, however, upper-level winds are expected to become less conducive for any significant development to occur when the system will be moving over the eastern Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.