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Tropical Invest 94L

Not sure if its 94L but the gfs has been flirting with a system in the western Atlantic eastern gulf the last couple runs....super long range though.
 
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AT THIS TIME IT LOOKS TO BE HEADED STRAIGHT FOR THE CARIBBEAN , OF COURSE THIS CAN AND MAY CHANGE

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Euro on the board.......at almost 65/20, which is a little concerning. GFS at the same mark is further northeast that aids in a curve st the east coast. The Euro position can take us down the same path again....

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A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms a few hundred
miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands. Gradual development of this
system is possible, and a tropical depression could form by the
middle of next week while the system moves westward across the
eastern and central tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
 
A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms several hundred
miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands. Gradual development of this
system is possible, and a tropical depression could form by the
middle of next week while the system moves westward across the
eastern and central tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
 
Today....may be not tomorrow....

At this range I simply look to see if we can get the ball on the court. That means somewhere in the Caribbean or southwest Atlantic. Most models put it in that general vicinity so we wait to see what it says when it gets there.

To say one way or the other it's a fish or a landfall this early is just not possible.
 
At this range I simply look to see if we can get the ball on the court. That means somewhere in the Caribbean or southwest Atlantic. Most models put it in that general vicinity so we wait to see what it says when it gets there.

To say one way or the other it's a fish or a landfall this early is just not possible.
Absolutely....this far out, just the fact majority have it there is the point.
 
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