An area of disturbed weather has developed over the southwestern
Caribbean Sea in association with a large low pressure system
located more than 200 miles east-southeast of the Nicaragua-Honduras
border. Upper-air data indicate that the system has become better
defined over the past couple of days. However, the surface
circulation remains broad and upper-level winds are expected to be
only marginally favorable for any development to occur while the
system moves westward to west-northwestward over the next couple of
days, reaching Nicaragua and Honduras by late Monday or early
Tuesday. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall will be
possible across portions of Central America Tuesday through
Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
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