Tropical Hurricane Nate

[Metwannabe]

Maximum wind gust from last night's Euro, a weaker system, shows a swath of 40-50 mph all the way into Va. Yesterday's 12z run, a stronger system, had 50-60 that far north

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[Storm5]

This should be fun to watch. Still a huge spread as to the track. I still say the gfs is way too far west and the Euro is too far east and there is a compromise eventually with a 12z ukmet of yesterday into SW Georgia after landfall

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[Metwannabe]

It's pulled me out of fake fall hibernation

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[pcbjr]

Thank you for the wonderful news ...

 

[Storm5]

Meanwhile let's check in on JB's planet for an update ......

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[ForsythSnow]

Meanwhile let's check in on JB's planet for an update ......

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LOL I went over there and it is nothing but self absorbed hype. I stopped listening to him several months ago because of all of it. Meanwhile, the NHC said this:

Rapid intensification is a possibility over the northwestern Caribbean or southern Gulf of Mexico while the system is traversing rather warm and deep waters, although it remains to be seen how separate the depression becomes from a larger gyre over central America.

 

[Xtreme Weather]

NHC on the the eastern envelope of most models from this mornings run and last night exception of the EURO and Ukie



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[Metwannabe]

I'd say he's working the hype pretty good, unfortunately he could be right...


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[Storm5]

12z gfs even further west . Very weak. Seems a little slower with the trough

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[Storm5]

NHC on the the eastern envelope of most models from this mornings run and last night exception of the EURO and Ukie



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Which is a hard combo to beat inside day 5

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[Metwannabe]

12z gfs even further west . Very weak. Seems a little slower with the trough

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Slower trough is not a crazy idea in fact very plausible and consistent with what we've seen

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[ForsythSnow]

Recon nearly at the storm now.

 

[Storm5]

12z CMC is identical to the 12z GFS , landfall southern Louisiana

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[Snowflowxxl]

Lol GFS/CMC vs Euro/Ukmet

 

[ForsythSnow]

Lol GFS/CMC vs Euro/Ukmet

We have to wait until the 12Z runs for both. The euro isn't consistent yet on a lamdfalling location.

 

[Storm5]

We have to wait until the 12Z runs for both. The euro isn't consistent yet on a lamdfalling location.

Per a Twitter post the 12z ukmet is west and on top on Mobile

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[Weatherlover92]

HWRF has "Nate" as a hurricane within the next 24-36hrs.
HMON is within 36hrs.

 

[Brent]

already recon reporting winds to support Nate

 

[Weatherlover92]

HWRF steadily strengthens "Nate" into a moderately strong Cat. 2 hurricane from hrs 63-78 (03z Sat - 18z Sat)

 

[ForsythSnow]

Major hurricane landfall in Louisiana headed towards MS/AL.