1. Hello guests. Please take a minute to sign up and join in the conversation. It's free, quick, and easy!

Tropical Hurricane Katia

Discussion in 'Tropical Weather' started by Storm5, Aug 29, 2017.

  1. Storm5

    Storm5 Staff Member Administrator Supporter

    Joined:
    Jan 4, 2017
    Messages:
    8,202
    Likes Received:
    9,057
    Location:
    Birmingham Alabama
    As webber pointed out there are growing signs for some tropical development in the western gulf along an old front early next week
    [​IMG]
    Sent from my SM-J320VPP using Tapatalk
     
    Last edited: Aug 29, 2017
  2. accu35

    accu35 Member

    Joined:
    Jan 5, 2017
    Messages:
    3,025
    Likes Received:
    1,136
    Lol, Euro has it coasting the gulf coast, then just dancing around.
     
  3. metwannabe

    metwannabe Staff Member Moderator Supporter

    Joined:
    Jan 5, 2017
    Messages:
    3,465
    Likes Received:
    3,081
    Location:
    Roanoke Rapids, NC
    Sometimes models can be a little bullish on spin ups along old frontal boundaries or tend to develop them to quickly...hopefully that is the case here.
     
  4. ForsythSnow

    ForsythSnow Staff Member Moderator

    Joined:
    Jan 5, 2017
    Messages:
    4,245
    Likes Received:
    3,744
    Location:
    North Forsyth County, Georgia
    But then we had Emily already this year, which did the same. It could go either way.
     
    metwannabe likes this.
  5. Tarheel1

    Tarheel1 Member

    Joined:
    Dec 2, 2016
    Messages:
    2,993
    Likes Received:
    1,757
    Hopefully it can skip the flood devastated parts of TX and LA , and bring more , much needed raine to the Western Carolinas!
     
  6. metwannabe

    metwannabe Staff Member Moderator Supporter

    Joined:
    Jan 5, 2017
    Messages:
    3,465
    Likes Received:
    3,081
    Location:
    Roanoke Rapids, NC
    I see it's been so long since you've seen the droplets from the sky that you reverted back to ye 'ol English spelling.... Lol
     
  7. Brent

    Brent Member

    Joined:
    Dec 9, 2016
    Messages:
    2,128
    Likes Received:
    1,612
    Location:
    Dallas Texas
    GFS has another 20 inches in Houston next week in one day
     
    whatalife and stormcentral like this.
  8. Snowfan

    Snowfan Member

    Joined:
    Jan 5, 2017
    Messages:
    956
    Likes Received:
    394
    Location:
    Not telling
    Houston can't take another Harvey-type storm.
     
  9. Storm5

    Storm5 Staff Member Administrator Supporter

    Joined:
    Jan 4, 2017
    Messages:
    8,202
    Likes Received:
    9,057
    Location:
    Birmingham Alabama
    Eps isnt excited

    Sent from my SM-J320VPP using Tapatalk
     
    Brent and stormcentral like this.
  10. Brent

    Brent Member

    Joined:
    Dec 9, 2016
    Messages:
    2,128
    Likes Received:
    1,612
    Location:
    Dallas Texas
    I'm figuring if anything forms it'll be probably just be a weak rainmaker and exacerbate the flooding probably
     
  11. Brent

    Brent Member

    Joined:
    Dec 9, 2016
    Messages:
    2,128
    Likes Received:
    1,612
    Location:
    Dallas Texas
    0z Euro has a trough and the storm is fairly weak moving NE well east of Texas and even past Louisiana towards probably the FL Panhandle at 216
     
  12. WeatherWatch

    WeatherWatch Member

    Joined:
    Feb 27, 2017
    Messages:
    688
    Likes Received:
    2
    Location:
    N/A
    It will be interesting as always how things pan out.

    Euro has the cold front sweeping up the tropical feature

    While the GFS puts the low mandering around the TX coast, which hopefully isn't right. Or, the tropical feature could get us by surprise like Harvey. Never the less, always have to keep an eye out. [​IMG][​IMG]

    Sent from my SM-J700T1 using Tapatalk
     
    accu35 likes this.
  13. Tarheel1

    Tarheel1 Member

    Joined:
    Dec 2, 2016
    Messages:
    2,993
    Likes Received:
    1,757
    The EPS from last night, looks to still be holding on to that idea of a gulf system. Not good!
     
    Webberweather53 and accu35 like this.
  14. metwannabe

    metwannabe Staff Member Moderator Supporter

    Joined:
    Jan 5, 2017
    Messages:
    3,465
    Likes Received:
    3,081
    Location:
    Roanoke Rapids, NC
    Umm no!
    [​IMG]
     
    accu35 likes this.
  15. metwannabe

    metwannabe Staff Member Moderator Supporter

    Joined:
    Jan 5, 2017
    Messages:
    3,465
    Likes Received:
    3,081
    Location:
    Roanoke Rapids, NC
    GFS just rides the Gulf Coast eastward all the way to Fl....
     
  16. Arcc

    Arcc Supporter Member

    Joined:
    Jan 5, 2017
    Messages:
    1,367
    Likes Received:
    1,506
    Location:
    Extreme North Coosa County
    Luckily if the GFS is right, it would be going into the shreader before landfall due to the big trough diving down.
     
  17. Tarheel1

    Tarheel1 Member

    Joined:
    Dec 2, 2016
    Messages:
    2,993
    Likes Received:
    1,757
    Would bring more rain to the Carolinas!?
     
  18. metwannabe

    metwannabe Staff Member Moderator Supporter

    Joined:
    Jan 5, 2017
    Messages:
    3,465
    Likes Received:
    3,081
    Location:
    Roanoke Rapids, NC
    IF it's correct yes.... also more rain to areas that just don't need it

    [​IMG]
     
  19. metwannabe

    metwannabe Staff Member Moderator Supporter

    Joined:
    Jan 5, 2017
    Messages:
    3,465
    Likes Received:
    3,081
    Location:
    Roanoke Rapids, NC
    Yeah I don't think it will be a significant landfalling cane but rain could certainly be problematic
     
  20. Brent

    Brent Member

    Joined:
    Dec 9, 2016
    Messages:
    2,128
    Likes Received:
    1,612
    Location:
    Dallas Texas
    GFS just takes a tour of the entire Gulf coast :rolleyes:
     
  21. Brent

    Brent Member

    Joined:
    Dec 9, 2016
    Messages:
    2,128
    Likes Received:
    1,612
    Location:
    Dallas Texas
    2pm TWO:


    An area of low pressure could form over the southwestern Gulf of
    Mexico by the weekend. Development, if any, of this system is
    expected to be slow to occur as the low moves slowly northward.
    If this system does develop, it could bring additional rainfall to
    portions of the Texas and Louisiana coasts. However, any rainfall
    forecast is uncertain at this time range and it is too soon to
    determine any specific impacts. Interests in these areas should
    monitor the progress of this system for the next few days.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
     
  22. Jesse

    Jesse Member

    Joined:
    Aug 23, 2017
    Messages:
    52
    Likes Received:
    25
    Location:
    Lafayette, LA
    In other words, "Yeah. We see it. We don't know either. Shrug."

    Sent from my SM-G900T using Tapatalk
     
    pcbjr likes this.
  23. GaWx

    GaWx Supporter Member

    Joined:
    Jan 5, 2017
    Messages:
    2,553
    Likes Received:
    4,167
    Location:
    SAV, GA
    I look at this potential system as quite possibly helping to protect the SE US from a hit from Irma. So, bring it on!
     
    whatalife likes this.
  24. ForsythSnow

    ForsythSnow Staff Member Moderator

    Joined:
    Jan 5, 2017
    Messages:
    4,245
    Likes Received:
    3,744
    Location:
    North Forsyth County, Georgia
    Unless of course we get a big storm out of it and it ends up doing a Gulf coast tour, further flooding the coast of Texas and Louisiana, as well as damaging somewhere along it, then we don't want such a storm, but rather none to a depression with a slower trough. If anything, I would think this storm could clear the way for Irma by the way the Euro looks. It's too far out still of course, but I don't want to see Texas flood again anytime soon.
     
    whatalife and GaWx like this.
  25. GaWx

    GaWx Supporter Member

    Joined:
    Jan 5, 2017
    Messages:
    2,553
    Likes Received:
    4,167
    Location:
    SAV, GA
    Yeah, in that case, it wouldn't be good. Good point. I'd want it to be weak and without giving much rain to TX/LA. Maybe give you, JHS, Mac, and SD some rain?
     
    MBell, whatalife and Tarheel1 like this.
  26. Brent

    Brent Member

    Joined:
    Dec 9, 2016
    Messages:
    2,128
    Likes Received:
    1,612
    Location:
    Dallas Texas
    2am TWO

    A trough of low pressure located over the southwestern Gulf of
    Mexico is producing disorganized shower activity and a few
    squalls. Environmental conditions are marginally conducive for
    development, and this system could become a tropical depression
    during the next couple of days while it meanders over the
    southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of development, heavy rains
    associated with this disturbance are likely over portions of eastern
    Mexico during the remainder of the week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
     
  27. Snowfan

    Snowfan Member

    Joined:
    Jan 5, 2017
    Messages:
    956
    Likes Received:
    394
    Location:
    Not telling
    This was classified as a Invest 95L last night.
     
  28. ForsythSnow

    ForsythSnow Staff Member Moderator

    Joined:
    Jan 5, 2017
    Messages:
    4,245
    Likes Received:
    3,744
    Location:
    North Forsyth County, Georgia
    They just keep coming! TD 13
     
  29. ForsythSnow

    ForsythSnow Staff Member Moderator

    Joined:
    Jan 5, 2017
    Messages:
    4,245
    Likes Received:
    3,744
    Location:
    North Forsyth County, Georgia
    HWRF and HMON want to make this a hurricane quickly. The HMON is really small.
     
  30. SD

    SD Staff Member Administrator

    Joined:
    Jan 4, 2017
    Messages:
    4,166
    Likes Received:
    4,294
    Location:
    Chalybeate Springs, NC
    So many storms
     
    accu35 likes this.

Share This Page