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Tropical Hurricane Franklin

ForsythSnow

ForsythSnow

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Looks like the area out in the Atlantic is officially an invest now.
97L_tracks_latest.png
 
Idk, satellite looks like a lack of TStorms. Plus i didnt see the invest on the tropical update page. Did they take it off?
 
97L is x'd again... Cant blame the nhc when the only major deterrent is stable air but that's not going to be the case much longer once this cckw moves in
 
Webberweather53 said:
97L is x'd again... Cant blame the nhc when the only major deterrent is stable air but that's not going to be the case much longer once this cckw moves in
Click to expand...
My question is that if it strengthens, will it remain Invest 97L or be named Invest 98L? I feel like they have gone onto the next number before, even though it was the same system. Still, its something to watch given the top models have been showing something.
 
A disorganized cluster of showers, cloudiness, and convection in association with a sharp tropical wave axis over the eastern Caribbean has been designated invest 90L by the NHC. This system bears watching as it nears the western Caribbean, Yucatan Peninsula and south-central Gulf of Mexico later next week in the midst of canonical trade wind convergence, warmer SSTs/higher OHC, etc... All interests in the western Caribbean, Mexico, Texas and Louisiana should closely monitor the progress of this system.
Screen Shot 2017-08-03 at 1.58.40 PM.png

2. A strong tropical wave located over the southeastern Caribbean Sea
is producing a large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms, along
with tropical-storm-force wind gusts in squalls. Environmental
conditions are expected to become a little more conducive for
development by Sunday over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and by
early next week over the Bay of Campeche while the disturbance
moves westward or west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. This system
could produce brief heavy rainfall and gusty winds over Aruba,
Bonaire, and Curacao tonight and Friday. For additional information
on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National
Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
 
Euro developing this quickly now maybe faster than 99L

Euro has a weak hurricane into northern mexico while 90L sucks
 
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The 0Z GEFS mean is much further north/stronger than the 0Z GFS and the prior 3 GEFS. The mean track is threatening far N MX on 8/12 but there may be some members as far north as LA.
 
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